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Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Coastal Spirit

New Zealand New Zealand

National League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Steinwascher A.
41' Event
Steinwascher A.
48' Event
Steinwascher A.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2024 game between Wellington Phoenix 2 and Coastal Spirit finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coastal Spirit.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Wellington Phoenix 2
11%
Draws
9%
Coastal Spirit
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Wellington Phoenix 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Coastal Spirit haven't matched Wellington Phoenix 2's recent run of results.
  • Wellington Phoenix 2 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular National League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Coastal Spirit Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Phoenix 2 Coastal Spirit
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 12 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 National League
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Coastal Spirit
1:0
Oct 18, 2024 National League
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Coastal Spirit
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington Phoenix 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Coastal Spirit Compare

Top Goalscorer Steinwascher A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Phoenix 2 76 / 100
Coastal Spirit 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Phoenix 2 Coastal Spirit

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington Phoenix 2's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Coastal Spirit let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Coastal Spirit's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Phoenix 2 VS Coastal Spirit
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Birkenhead962123:1620
2Auckland City961220:1019
3Western Springs960325:1618
4Napier City952221:1417
5Wellington Phoenix 2941416:1913
6Wellington Olympic932417:1511
7Coastal Spirit932418:2011
8Cashmere Technical923416:189
9Eastern Suburbs91268:175
10Western Suburbs91179:284