Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Hamilton

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Lewis C.
64' Event
Tieku D.
78' Event
Lamb J.

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship game between Wellington Phoenix 2 and Hamilton finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hamilton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Wellington Phoenix 2
15%
Draws
48%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Wellington Phoenix 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Wellington Phoenix 2 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 15%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Phoenix 2 Hamilton
Matches Played 46 31
Wins 15 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 23 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2021 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Hamilton
1:2
Dec 6, 2020 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Wellington Phoenix 2
1:1
Feb 15, 2020 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Hamilton
2:1
Dec 1, 2019 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Wellington Phoenix 2
2:4
Mar 10, 2019 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Hamilton
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington Phoenix 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lewis C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Tieku D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lamb J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Phoenix 2 84 / 100
Hamilton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Phoenix 2 Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wellington Phoenix 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamilton let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Wellington Phoenix 2 scored in 76% of their last 46 games.

Wellington Phoenix 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Phoenix 2 VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Phoenix 2

(Home)
26 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1
Auckland United
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7
Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3
Birkenhead
22 Nov
Auckland City
2 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 0
Coastal Spirit
Page 1 of 10

Hamilton

(Away)
29 Jul
Hamilton
0 : 3
Christchurch
09 Jul
Hamilton
3 : 2
Ngaruawahia AFC
20 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 0
Hamilton
30 Jul
Miramar
3 : 4
Hamilton
09 Jul
Auckland United
0 : 1
Hamilton
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 14 8 4 2 27:13 28
2 Team Wellington 14 7 5 2 35:21 26
3 Hamilton 14 5 5 4 23:21 20
4 Eastern Suburbs 14 5 4 5 25:23 19
5 Waitakere United 14 4 6 4 28:26 18
6 Canterbury 14 5 3 6 21:24 18
7 Hawke s Bay 14 4 1 9 17:29 13
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 14 2 4 8 18:37 10
Promotion - Football Championship (Play Offs)