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Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Team Wellington

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Sinclair J.

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship game between Wellington Phoenix 2 and Team Wellington finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Team Wellington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Wellington Phoenix 2
6%
Draws
90%
Team Wellington
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Team Wellington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Team Wellington come out ahead of Wellington Phoenix 2 on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Team Wellington taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Team Wellington have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 15%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Phoenix 2 Team Wellington
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 12 18
Draws 2 7
Losses 19 3
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2021 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Wellington Phoenix 2
5:2
Nov 14, 2020 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Team Wellington
0:1
Feb 1, 2020 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Team Wellington
0:1
Nov 17, 2019 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Wellington Phoenix 2
2:2
Feb 6, 2019 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Wellington Phoenix 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington Phoenix 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Team Wellington Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinclair J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Phoenix 2 10 / 100
Team Wellington 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Phoenix 2 Team Wellington

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Wellington Phoenix 2 scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Team Wellington let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Wellington Phoenix 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Phoenix 2 VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City1484227:1328
2Team Wellington1475235:2126
3Hamilton1455423:2120
4Eastern Suburbs1454525:2319
5Waitakere United1446428:2618
6Canterbury1453621:2418
7Hawke s Bay1441917:2913
8Wellington Phoenix 21424818:3710