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Wellington Phoenix 2 vs WaiBOP United

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Rogerson L.
47' Event
Blake A.
51' Event
Tinsley R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

WaiBOP United in this Football Championship 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored WaiBOP United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Wellington Phoenix 2
40%
Draws
29%
WaiBOP United
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Wellington Phoenix 2 at 1.88 per game, WaiBOP United at 0.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors WaiBOP United here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 15%
WaiBOP United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Phoenix 2 WaiBOP United
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 2 1
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2016 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Wellington Phoenix 2
4:2
Jan 9, 2016 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs WaiBOP United
3:4
Feb 28, 2015 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Wellington Phoenix 2
2:3
Dec 13, 2014 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs WaiBOP United
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington Phoenix 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogerson L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Blake A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

WaiBOP United Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoyle S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ilich M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Phoenix 2 31 / 100
WaiBOP United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Phoenix 2 WaiBOP United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

WaiBOP United has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Wellington Phoenix 2 scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

Away concern: WaiBOP United has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Phoenix 2 VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City14122043:1238
2Hawke s Bay1493229:1630
3Team Wellington1483336:2127
4Canterbury1482428:2326
5WaiBOP United1460829:2718
6Waitakere United1441923:3613
7Wellington Phoenix 214211124:467
8Southern United14101311:423