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Wellington Phoenix 2 vs WaiBOP United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2014/2015
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Marquez F.
25' Event
Marquez F.

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2014/2015 game between Wellington Phoenix 2 and WaiBOP United finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward WaiBOP United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Wellington Phoenix 2
15%
Draws
36%
WaiBOP United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Phoenix 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and WaiBOP United come out ahead of Wellington Phoenix 2 on wins alone.
  • WaiBOP United are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship 2014/2015 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and WaiBOP United have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 10%
WaiBOP United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Phoenix 2 WaiBOP United
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 3 1
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.88 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.61 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2016 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Wellington Phoenix 2
4:2
Jan 9, 2016 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs WaiBOP United
3:4
Feb 28, 2015 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Wellington Phoenix 2
2:3
Dec 13, 2014 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs WaiBOP United
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington Phoenix 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

WaiBOP United Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquez F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Phoenix 2 18 / 100
WaiBOP United 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Phoenix 2 WaiBOP United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WaiBOP United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

WaiBOP United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Wellington Phoenix 2 scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Away concern: WaiBOP United has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Phoenix 2 VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Phoenix 2

(Home)
04 Oct
Cashmere Technical
10 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
26 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1
Auckland United
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7
Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3
Birkenhead
22 Nov
Auckland City
2 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
Page 1 of 7

WaiBOP United

(Away)
28 Feb
Auckland City
4 : 1
WaiBOP United
20 Feb
WaiBOP United
4 : 2
Wellington Phoenix 2
14 Feb
Hawke s Bay
2 : 0
WaiBOP United
07 Feb
WaiBOP United
2 : 3
Canterbury
31 Jan
Team Wellington
3 : 1
WaiBOP United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 16 14 0 2 39:14 42
2 Team Wellington 16 9 3 4 32:24 30
3 Hawke s Bay 16 8 3 5 34:29 27
4 Waitakere United 16 8 2 6 29:23 26
5 WaiBOP United 16 7 1 8 24:29 22
6 Wellington Phoenix 2 16 7 0 9 37:42 21
7 Wanderers 16 5 2 9 24:29 17
8 Canterbury 16 4 2 10 22:32 14
9 Southern United 16 3 1 12 20:39 10
Promotion - Football Championship 2014/2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2014/2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2014/2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2014/2015 (Play Offs)