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Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Waterside Karori W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bacon R.
14' Event
Dugan T.
23' Event
Pollock K.

AI Match Summary

Waterside Karori W in this National League Women 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Waterside Karori W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6%
Draws
4%
Waterside Karori W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wellington Phoenix 2 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Wellington Phoenix 2 W average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Waterside Karori W's 1.
  • Model gives Wellington Phoenix 2 W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Clean Sheet 14%
Waterside Karori W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Phoenix 2 W Waterside Karori W
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Kate Sheppard Cup Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Waterside Karori W
4:0
Jul 5, 2025 Kate Sheppard Cup Women
Waterside Karori W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
1:4
Oct 4, 2024 National League Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Waterside Karori W
0:5
Jul 6, 2024 Kate Sheppard Cup Women
Waterside Karori W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
2:3
Nov 11, 2023 National League Women
Waterside Karori W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington Phoenix 2 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Waterside Karori W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bacon R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pollock K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Phoenix 2 W 84 / 100
Waterside Karori W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Waterside Karori W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wellington Phoenix 2 W scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Waterside Karori W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 22 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Wellington Phoenix 2 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Phoenix 2 W VS Waterside Karori W
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 67%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W981021:425
2Waterside Karori W953118:818
3Eastern Suburbs W942324:914
4Western Springs W942322:1314
5West Coast Rangers W942320:1514
6Wellington United W934219:1113
7Canterbury United W941417:2013
8Southern United W932417:1211
9Wellington Phoenix 2 W91179:284
10Central Football W90093:500