Sport Picks
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast
Australia
A-League 2025/2026 Sky Stadium, Wellington 
Match Events
11'
11'
Sub
Oluwayemi J. In: McCarron E.
Out: Oluwayemi J.
36'
36'
Piper C.
Assist: Nagasawa K.
41'
41'
Sub
McCalmont A. In: Di Pizio M.
Out: McCalmont A.
AI Match Summary
Wellington Phoenix in this A-League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wellington Phoenix.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Phoenix
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Wellington Phoenix lately — more wins on the board than Central Coast.
- Wellington Phoenix are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Wellington Phoenix Clean Sheet 68%
Central Coast Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix | Central Coast |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 21, 2025 A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast
3:1
Nov 2, 2025 A-League
Central Coast vs Wellington Phoenix
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 A-League
Central Coast vs Wellington Phoenix
0:3
Apr 6, 2024 A-League
Central Coast vs Wellington Phoenix
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wellington Phoenix Compare
Top Goalscorer Piper C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Armiento C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Central Coast Compare
Top Goalscorer James Ngor S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wellington Phoenix 77 / 100
Central Coast 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wellington Phoenix Central Coast
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Wellington Phoenix Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Wellington Phoenix scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Central Coast's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Wellington Phoenix remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Wellington Phoenix VS Central Coast
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Wellington Phoenix
(Home) 24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0 Wellington Phoenix
18 Apr
Wellington Phoenix
2 : 1 Western Sydney Wanderers
12 Apr
Melbourne City
2 : 0 Wellington Phoenix
05 Apr
Melbourne Victory
0 : 1 Wellington Phoenix
21 Mar
Brisbane Roar
1 : 2 Wellington Phoenix
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Wellington Phoenix
2 : 1 Western Sydney Wanderers
14 Mar
Wellington Phoenix
2 : 0 Perth Glory
01 Mar
Wellington Phoenix
0 : 1 Sydney FC
21 Feb
Wellington Phoenix
0 : 5 Auckland FC
06 Feb
Wellington Phoenix
2 : 3 Melbourne Victory
Page 1 of 3
Central Coast
(Away) 12 Sept
Vanuatu United
1 : 0 Central Coast
09 Sept
Vanuatu United
3 : 2 Central Coast
22 Jul
Sydney Utd
2 : 1 Central Coast
25 Apr
Newcastle Jets
4 : 0 Central Coast
19 Apr
Auckland FC
0 : 1 Central Coast
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Vanuatu United
1 : 0 Central Coast
09 Sept
Vanuatu United
3 : 2 Central Coast
22 Jul
Sydney Utd
2 : 1 Central Coast
25 Apr
Newcastle Jets
4 : 0 Central Coast
19 Apr
Auckland FC
0 : 1 Central Coast
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide Utd | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | 21 |
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
