Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wellington Phoenix W vs Canberra W

Australia Australia

A-League Women Sky Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Aulicino J.
39' Event
Van der Meer M.
46'
Sub
Middag T. In: Main E.
Out: Middag T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this A-League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Wellington Phoenix W
20%
Draws
38%
Canberra W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wellington Phoenix W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Wellington Phoenix W demonstrates higher offensive output (1.88 avg goals) than Canberra W (1.38 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Wellington Phoenix W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in A-League Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Wellington Phoenix W Clean Sheet 20%
Canberra W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Phoenix W Canberra W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 A-League Women
Canberra W vs Wellington Phoenix W
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 A-League Women
Wellington Phoenix W vs Canberra W
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 A-League Women
Canberra W vs Wellington Phoenix W
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 A-League Women
Wellington Phoenix W vs Canberra W
0:1
Mar 24, 2024 A-League Women
Canberra W vs Wellington Phoenix W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington Phoenix W Compare

Top Goalscorer Van der Meer M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Canberra W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aulicino J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Phoenix W 42 / 100
Canberra W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Phoenix W Canberra W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington Phoenix W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Canberra W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Wellington Phoenix W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Canberra W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Phoenix W VS Canberra W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Melbourne City W20124436:2040
2Wellington Phoenix W20104638:1734
3Canberra W2094730:2431
4Brisbane Roar W2094737:3931
5Adelaide W2093824:2630
6Melbourne Victory W2084827:2428
7Central Coast W2077627:2628
8Perth W20731020:3024
9Newcastle W20721130:3623
10Sydney W2047918:2919
11Western Sydney Wanderers W20541118:3419