Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2008/2009

Wellington Rec

3 - 2

Dunmurry Y.M.

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Wellington Rec advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Wellington Rec

15%

Draws

42%

Dunmurry Y.M.

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Rec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Wellington Rec carry the better recent record into this one.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Wellington Rec have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Wellington Rec, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 88%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Wellington Rec Clean Sheet 10%

Dunmurry Y.M. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Wellington Rec	Dunmurry Y.M.
Matches Played	20	7
Wins	10	2
Draws	0	0
Losses	10	5
Goals Scored	2.05	2.71
Goals Conceded	1.8	3.57
Expected Goals (xG)	3.10	1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2008 Irish Cup

Wellington Rec vs Dunmurry Y.M.

3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Rec 30 / 100

Dunmurry Y.M. 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Wellington Rec Dunmurry Y.M.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunmurry Y.M. let in goals in 100% of their last 7 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Wellington Rec scored in 74% of their last 19 games.

Away concern: Dunmurry Y.M. has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Rec VS Dunmurry Y.M.

2 Goals Scored 2.6

1.38 Goals Conceded 4.2

88% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 100%

38% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Rec

(Home)

15 Jul

Wellington Rec

0 : 4

Crusaders

04 Jan

Linfield

4 : 0

Wellington Rec

23 Nov

Wellington Rec

Dergview

29 Sept

Lisburn Distillery

2 : 0

Wellington Rec

30 Sept

St. Patricks Young

3 : 2

Wellington Rec

Page 1 of 4

Dunmurry Y.M.

(Away)

28 Sept

Ballymacash

2 : 1

Dunmurry Y.M.

18 Aug

Dunmurry Y.M.

4 : 5

Rathfriland Rangers

19 Aug

Orangefield Old Boys'

3 : 0

Dunmurry Y.M.

03 Oct

Immaculata

10 : 0

Dunmurry Y.M.

22 Aug

Dunmurry Y.M.

8 : 1

Laurelvale

Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Annagh 3

Ballymacash 1

Lisburn Rangers 0

Rathfriland Rangers 1

Fivemiletown -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff 1

Warrenpoint 2

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Raceview 2

Donard 1

Sport & Leisure 0

Dromara 3

Kilmore Rec 3

East Belfast 1

Markethill 2

U. U. Coleraine 4

TBD -

Donegal -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Malachians -

TBD -

Portadown BBOB 0

Tandragee 7

TBD -

Ards -

Limavady -

TBD -

Oxford Stars -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Lisburn Distillery -

TBD -

Armagh -

TBD -

Banbridge -

Killyleagh Youth -

TBD -

Lower Maze -

TBD -

Killymoon -

Queens University 3

Desertmartin 0

TBD -

Brantwood -

TBD -

Tobermore -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Glebe -

TBD -

Rosario Youth 5

Chimney 0

TBD -

Newington FC -

PSNI -

TBD -

Foundry -

Churchill -

TBD -

Seagoe 1

Newcastle 3

TBD -

Linfield -

Institute -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 3

Downshire Y.M. 2

Bangor Old Boys 1

Dunmurry Y.M. 4

Ards Rangers -

TBD -

Lurgan Town Boys 2

Islandmagee 4

Downpatrick 4

Barn 0

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Moyola 3

Laurelvale 2

TBD -

Hanover -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Drumaness 2

Holywood 1

Sirocco 2

Bryansburn 3

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Portstewart 3

Comber Rec 2

Bloomfield 1

Grove 4

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

TBD -

Newry City -

Portadown -

TBD -

Saintfield -

TBD -

Wakehurst 0

Dundela 2

Dunmurry Rec 2

Ballynure Old Boys 1

TBD -

Abbey Villa -

TBD -

Dergview -

Larne -

TBD -

Strabane FC -

TBD -

Dollingstown -

Nortel -

TBD -

Magherafelt 0

Draperstown 2

TBD -

Loughgall -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Newbuildings 6

Roe Valley 1

Oxford Sunnyside 1

Dungiven 2

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Ballymoney -

TBD -

Dunaghy -

TBD -

Crewe 2

Crumlin United 3

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/64-finals

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Annagh 5

Rathfriland Rangers 0

Fivemiletown 1

Warrenpoint 3

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Raceview 3

Dromara 4

Kilmore Rec 3

U. U. Coleraine 1

TBD -

Donegal -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Malachians 2

Tandragee 1

TBD -

Ards -

Limavady -

TBD -

Oxford Stars 0

Lurgan Celtic 1

TBD -

Glentoran -

Lisburn Distillery -

TBD -

Armagh -

TBD -

Banbridge -

Killyleagh Youth 2

Lower Maze 0

TBD -

Killymoon -

Queens University 2

Brantwood 1

TBD -

Tobermore -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Glebe -

TBD -

Rosario Youth 2

Newington FC 4

PSNI 4

Foundry 3

Churchill 3

Newcastle 6

TBD -

Linfield -

Institute -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 3

Dunmurry Y.M. 2

Ards Rangers 3

Islandmagee 4

Downpatrick 4

Knockbreda 2

Moyola 1

Hanover 3

TBD -

Dungannon -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Drumaness 4

Bryansburn 1

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Portstewart 1

Grove 0

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

TBD -

Newry City -

Portadown -

TBD -

Saintfield 0

Dundela 5

Dunmurry Rec 1

Abbey Villa 0

TBD -

Dergview -

Larne -

TBD -

Strabane FC 2

Dollingstown 6

Nortel 5

Draperstown 3

TBD -

Loughgall -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Newbuildings 3

Dungiven 2

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Ballymoney -

TBD -

Dunaghy 0

Crumlin United 9

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/32-finals

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Annagh 0

Warrenpoint 1

Ballinamallard 3

Dromara 1

Kilmore Rec 0

Donegal 3

Coleraine -

TBD -

Malachians 1

Ards 2

Limavady 5

Lurgan Celtic 1

TBD -

Glentoran -

Lisburn Distillery -

TBD -

Armagh 0

Banbridge 2

Killyleagh Youth 2

Killymoon 0

Queens University 2

Tobermore 3

Glenavon -

TBD -

Glebe 0

Newington FC 2

PSNI 6

Newcastle 3

TBD -

Linfield -

Institute -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 0

Islandmagee 3

Downpatrick 5

Hanover 1

TBD -

Dungannon -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Drumaness 0

Carrick Rangers 5

Portstewart 3

Coagh Utd 2

TBD -

Newry City -

Portadown 5

Dundela 2

Dunmurry Rec 2

Dergview 3

Larne 3

Dollingstown 1

Nortel 0

Loughgall 5

Ballymena -

TBD -

Newbuildings 1

Ballyclare 4

Ballymoney 2

Crumlin United 0

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/16-finals

Cliftonville 3

Warrenpoint 1

Ballinamallard 0

Donegal 1

Coleraine 3

Ards 0

Limavady 0

Glentoran 3

Lisburn Distillery 3

Banbridge 0

Killyleagh Youth 1

Tobermore 4

Glenavon 3

Newington FC 1

PSNI 0

Linfield 3

Institute 0

Islandmagee 3

Downpatrick 2

Dungannon 7

Bangor FC 6

Carrick Rangers 2

Portstewart 0

Newry City 8

Portadown 8

Dergview 1

Larne 3

Loughgall 1

Ballymena 2

Ballyclare 0

Ballymoney 0

Crusaders 1

1/8-finals

Cliftonville 2

Donegal 0

Coleraine 1

Glentoran 2

Lisburn Distillery 1

Tobermore 0

Glenavon 1

Linfield 3

Institute 1

Dungannon 0

Bangor FC 0

Newry City 1

Portadown 5

Loughgall 0

Ballymena 0

Crusaders 1

Quarter-finals

Cliftonville 1

Glentoran 0

Lisburn Distillery 0

Linfield 3

Institute 2

Newry City 1

Portadown 2

Crusaders 5

Semi-finals

Cliftonville 3

Linfield 2

Institute 1

Crusaders 4

Final

Cliftonville 0

Crusaders 1

Wellington Rec vs Dunmurry Y.M.

Northern Ireland

Wellington Rec

Dunmurry Y.M.

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Rec

Dunmurry Y.M.

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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