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Welwalo Adigrat vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Gebremedhin N.
90' Event
Solomon F.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Welwalo Adigrat and Ethiopia Nigd Bank finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Welwalo Adigrat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Welwalo Adigrat
22%
Draws
18%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Welwalo Adigrat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Welwalo Adigrat come out ahead of Ethiopia Nigd Bank on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Welwalo Adigrat taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Welwalo Adigrat Clean Sheet 68%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Welwalo Adigrat Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 15 9
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Welwalo Adigrat
1:2
May 6, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Welwalo Adigrat
2:2
Nov 6, 2024 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Welwalo Adigrat Compare

Top Goalscorer Gebremedhin N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solomon F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Ethiopia Nigd Bank Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Welwalo Adigrat 68 / 100
Ethiopia Nigd Bank 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Welwalo Adigrat Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Welwalo Adigrat scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Ethiopia Nigd Bank's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Welwalo Adigrat stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Welwalo Adigrat VS Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635