Sport Picks
Welwalo Adigrat vs Ethiopian Insurance
Ethiopia
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Welwalo Adigrat play Ethiopian Insurance in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Welwalo Adigrat averaged 0.97 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Ethiopian Insurance averaged 0.87 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, Welwalo Adigrat won 0, Ethiopian Insurance won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.76 for Welwalo Adigrat and 0.81 for Ethiopian Insurance. This points to a Welwalo Adigrat double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Welwalo Adigrat picked up more points recently compared to Ethiopian Insurance.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.76 vs 0.81 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Welwalo Adigrat | Ethiopian Insurance |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 15 | 13 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Welwalo Adigrat scored in 67% of their last 33 games.
Ethiopian Insurance let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 1.25 goals.
Welwalo Adigrat went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Ethiopian Insurance lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |