Sport Picks
Welwalo Adigrat vs Ethiopian Insurance Prediction & H2H Stats
Ethiopia
Premier League 2025/2026 
Match Events
7'
7'
Hailemariam G.
Own Goal
12'
12'
Ganiyu I.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Welwalo Adigrat
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Welwalo Adigrat have won more games recently than Ethiopian Insurance.
- Welwalo Adigrat are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Welwalo Adigrat Clean Sheet 68%
Ethiopian Insurance Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Welwalo Adigrat | Ethiopian Insurance |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 13 | 12 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.72 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Ethiopian Insurance
1:1
Jan 15, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Welwalo Adigrat
0:0
Apr 7, 2025 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Ethiopian Insurance
1:1
Oct 29, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Welwalo Adigrat
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Welwalo Adigrat 95 / 100
Ethiopian Insurance 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Welwalo Adigrat Ethiopian Insurance
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Welwalo Adigrat Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Welwalo Adigrat's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Ethiopian Insurance's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Welwalo Adigrat went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Ethiopian Insurance lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Welwalo Adigrat VS Ethiopian Insurance
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Welwalo Adigrat
(Home) 12 Sept
Welwalo Adigrat
3 : 1 Hilal Alsahil
04 Sept
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 1 Welwalo Adigrat
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2 Welwalo Adigrat
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
26 Jun
Arba Menche
0 : 1 Welwalo Adigrat
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Welwalo Adigrat
3 : 1 Hilal Alsahil
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
22 Jun
Welwalo Adigrat
0 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
30 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 Ethiopian Insurance
25 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
Page 1 of 3
Ethiopian Insurance
(Away) 01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
27 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
0 : 3 Shire Endaselassie
21 Jun
Mechal SC
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
14 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
1 : 0 Dire Dawa
30 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 Ethiopian Insurance
Page 1 of 6
01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
21 Jun
Mechal SC
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
30 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 Ethiopian Insurance
26 May
Sidama Bunna
3 : 2 Ethiopian Insurance
15 May
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
1 : 1 Ethiopian Insurance
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
