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Welwalo Adigrat vs Hadiya Hossana

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Welwalo Adigrat play Hadiya Hossana in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Welwalo Adigrat averaged 0.94 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. Hadiya Hossana averaged 0.87 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Welwalo Adigrat won 2, Hadiya Hossana won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 22, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Welwalo Adigrat and 0.69 for Hadiya Hossana. This points to a Welwalo Adigrat double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Welwalo Adigrat
35%
Draws
30%
Hadiya Hossana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Welwalo Adigrat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Welwalo Adigrat picked up more points recently compared to Hadiya Hossana.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Welwalo Adigrat Clean Sheet 28%
Hadiya Hossana Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 47%
Second Half Goal 49%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Welwalo Adigrat Hadiya Hossana
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 15 11
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 0.94 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.69 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Hadiya Hossana
0:1
Jan 25, 2026 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Welwalo Adigrat
1:2
May 13, 2025 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Welwalo Adigrat
3:2
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Hadiya Hossana
1:0
Apr 25, 2020 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Welwalo Adigrat
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Welwalo Adigrat Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hadiya Hossana Compare

Top Goalscorer Beyene B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Welwalo Adigrat 37 / 100
Hadiya Hossana 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Welwalo Adigrat Hadiya Hossana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Welwalo Adigrat or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +31.5%
5.26
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Welwalo Adigrat attacking → ← attacking Hadiya Hossana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Welwalo Adigrat scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Hadiya Hossana let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Welwalo Adigrat went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hadiya Hossana lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 41
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635