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Welwalo Adigrat vs Mekelle 70 Enderta FC

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Ethiopia Cup
Mon, May 25, 2026
1 - 0
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Konkoni H.
(Penalty)
1' Event
Kasa F.
Penalty Missed
2' Event
Wondimu K.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Welwalo Adigrat advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Welwalo Adigrat
28%
Draws
22%
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Welwalo Adigrat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Welwalo Adigrat come out ahead of Mekelle 70 Enderta FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Welwalo Adigrat's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Welwalo Adigrat have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Welwalo Adigrat, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Welwalo Adigrat Clean Sheet 68%
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Welwalo Adigrat Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 14 12
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 0.63 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Ethiopia Cup
Welwalo Adigrat vs Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
1:0
Apr 13, 2026 Premier League
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC vs Welwalo Adigrat
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
1:2
Jan 9, 2025 Premier League
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC vs Welwalo Adigrat
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Welwalo Adigrat 59 / 100
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Welwalo Adigrat Mekelle 70 Enderta FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Welwalo Adigrat scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Welwalo Adigrat has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Mekelle 70 Enderta FC conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Welwalo Adigrat VS Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0.63 Goals Scored 0.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Welwalo Adigrat

(Home)
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2
Welwalo Adigrat
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1
St. Georges
26 Jun
Arba Menche
0 : 1
Welwalo Adigrat
22 Jun
Welwalo Adigrat
0 : 1
Hadiya Hossana
16 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
0 : 0
Welwalo Adigrat
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Mekelle 70 Enderta FC

(Away)
01 Jul
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
3 : 0
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
26 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
3 : 0
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0
Adama City
16 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 0
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
30 May
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0
Bahir Dar Kenema
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Negele Arsi Ketema FC1
Sidama Bunna2
Bench Maji Bunna FC0
Ethiopian Insurance2
Mechal SC0
Welwalo Adigrat1
Boditi Ketema SC2
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC3
Semi-finals
Sidama Bunna3
Ethiopian Insurance2
Welwalo Adigrat1
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC0
Final
Sidama Bunna0
Welwalo Adigrat2