Sport Picks
Welwalo Adigrat vs St. Georges - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ethiopia
Premier League 2025/2026 
Match Events
12'
12'
Fitsumi T.
(Penalty)
34'
34'
Haflz K.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Welwalo Adigrat and St. Georges finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Georges
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Welwalo Adigrat come out ahead of St. Georges on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Welwalo Adigrat Clean Sheet 20%
St. Georges Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Welwalo Adigrat | St. Georges |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 12 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 2, 2026 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs St. Georges
1:1
Feb 5, 2026 Premier League
St. Georges vs Welwalo Adigrat
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs St. Georges
1:3
Sep 27, 2024 Premier League
St. Georges vs Welwalo Adigrat
2:1
Feb 9, 2020 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs St. Georges
1:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Welwalo Adigrat 32 / 100
St. Georges 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Welwalo Adigrat St. Georges
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Welwalo Adigrat's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
St. Georges let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Welwalo Adigrat has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Welwalo Adigrat VS St. Georges
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Welwalo Adigrat
(Home) 12 Sept
Welwalo Adigrat
3 : 1 Hilal Alsahil
04 Sept
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 1 Welwalo Adigrat
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2 Welwalo Adigrat
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
26 Jun
Arba Menche
0 : 1 Welwalo Adigrat
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Welwalo Adigrat
3 : 1 Hilal Alsahil
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
22 Jun
Welwalo Adigrat
0 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
30 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 Ethiopian Insurance
25 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
Page 1 of 3
St. Georges
(Away) 02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0 St. Georges
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0 Mechal SC
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2 St. Georges
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0 St. Georges
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2 St. Georges
14 May
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 St. Georges
05 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 0 St. Georges
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
