Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2021/2022

Welwyn Garden

2 - 1

Carshalton

Our Tip

Match Events

Cheadle J.

21'

Rolfe J.

75'

Spaul B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Welwyn Garden advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Welwyn Garden

15%

Draws

34%

Carshalton

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Welwyn Garden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Carshalton come out ahead of Welwyn Garden on wins alone.
51% — that's where the model lands on Welwyn Garden taking it.
Carshalton arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Welwyn Garden, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%

Welwyn Garden Clean Sheet 10%

Carshalton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Welwyn Garden	Carshalton
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	13	14
Draws	5	5
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	1.8	1.81
Goals Conceded	2	1.42
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2021 FA Trophy

Welwyn Garden vs Carshalton

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Welwyn Garden Compare

Top Goalscorer Rolfe J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Spaul B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Carshalton Compare

Top Goalscorer Cheadle J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Welwyn Garden 47 / 100

Carshalton 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Welwyn Garden Carshalton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Welwyn Garden Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Welwyn Garden scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Carshalton has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Welwyn Garden went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Welwyn Garden VS Carshalton

2 Goals Scored 1.75

2 Goals Conceded 0.88

80% Over 1.5 100%

80% Over 2.5 38%

40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Welwyn Garden

(Home)

26 Sept

Eastbourne Borough

4 : 2

Welwyn Garden

12 Sept

Welwyn Garden

2 : 1

Walthamstow FC

29 Aug

Welwyn Garden

3 : 0

Mulbarton Wanderers

25 Jul

Hanworth Villa

5 : 2

Welwyn Garden

20 Jul

Redbridge

0 : 1

Welwyn Garden

Page 1 of 6

Carshalton

(Away)

27 Sept

Southall FC

2 : 3

Carshalton

19 Sept

Maldon & Tiptree

2 : 3

Carshalton

15 Sept

Lewes

3 : 0

Carshalton

12 Sept

Carshalton

0 : 3

Dartford

07 Sept

Carshalton

1 : 2

Chertsey Town

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Curzon Ashton -

TBD -

Chester -

Leamington -

TBD -

Alfreton -

Bradford PA -

TBD -

Marine 3

Dunston 2

TBD -

Halifax -

Notts County -

TBD -

Altrincham -

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Hanwell Town 1

Wingate & Finchley 0

Biggleswade Town 1

Enfield Town 2

Wrexham -

TBD -

Gloucester City -

TBD -

Kettering -

Hartley Wintney 3

Willand Rovers 0

Folkestone 2

Faversham 1

Chippenham Town -

TBD -

Walton Casuals 2

Uxbridge 6

Barnet -

TBD -

Boreham Wood -

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Maidstone -

TBD -

Billericay -

Yeovil -

TBD -

Woking -

Needham Market 3

Margate 2

Welwyn Garden 2

Carshalton 1

TBD -

Wealdstone -

Cray Wanderers 2

Bedfont Sports 1

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

Bath City -

TBD -

Dartford -

Hungerford -

TBD -

Welling -

TBD -

Weymouth -

Stockport County -

TBD -

Grimsby -

Weston-super-Mare 1

Wimborne 2

Marlow 2

Larkhall 3

Concord Rangers -

TBD -

AFC Totton 3

Frome Town 2

Oxford City -

TBD -

St. Albans -

Braintree -

TBD -

Bedford 0

Potters 1

Chelmsford -

TBD -

Cheshunt 1

Berkhamsted Town 0

Stortford 2

Chipstead 1

Leiston 3

Harrow Borough 0

Canvey Island 6

Yaxley 0

TBD -

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Torquay -

King’s Lynn -

TBD -

Whitby 5

Mossley AFC 0

Nantwich 2

Grantham Town 1

Aldershot -

TBD -

Royston Town 1

Kingstonian 2

Farnborough 1

Banbury 0

Dover Ath. -

TBD -

Bromley -

Hemel Hempstead -

TBD -

Carlton Town 1

Stourbridge 2

Felixstowe & Walton 2

Peterborough Sports 1

TBD -

Telford -

Chesterfield -

TBD -

Ashton United 5

Sutton Coldfield Town 1

TBD -

Guiseley -

Farsley -

TBD -

Bootle 3

Stalybridge 4

Southport -

TBD -

Darlington FC -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Gateshead -

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

Binfield 3

Cinderford Town 0

Truro 2

Bognor Regis 1

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Southend -

TBD -

Hayes & Yeading 0

Worthing FC 3

TBD -

Dorking Wanderers -

Radcliffe 2

Nuneaton 0

Colne 1

Tamworth 2

Spennymoor -

TBD -

Chorley -

Plymouth Parkway 4

Salisbury 0

TBD -

Hampton & Richmond -

Brentwood 4

Staines 1

TBD -

Dulwich Hamlet -

Rushall 0

Matlock 4

Marske United 3

United of Manchester 2

York City -

TBD -

Blyth Spartans -

Slough Town -

TBD -

Havant & Waterlooville -

Eastbourne Borough -

TBD -

Bracknell Town 1

Tiverton 3

Warrington Town 2

Chasetown 0

Bromsgrove 0

Morpeth 1

Liversedge 3

Basford Utd. 2

Gainsborough 1

Lancaster 2

Brackley -

TBD -

Boston United -

Hereford -

TBD -

Kidderminster -

1/64-finals

Curzon Ashton 2

Chester 1

Leamington 0

Alfreton 3

Bradford PA 4

Marine 3

TBD -

Halifax -

Notts County -

TBD -

Altrincham -

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Hanwell Town 0

Enfield Town 2

Wrexham -

TBD -

Gloucester City 3

Kettering 0

Hartley Wintney 0

Folkestone 2

Chippenham Town 0

Uxbridge 1

Barnet -

TBD -

Boreham Wood -

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Maidstone 2

Billericay 1

Yeovil -

TBD -

Woking -

Needham Market 3

Welwyn Garden 1

TBD -

Wealdstone -

Cray Wanderers 3

Ebbsfleet 2

Bath City 0

Dartford 1

Hungerford 3

Welling 2

TBD -

Weymouth -

Stockport County -

TBD -

Grimsby -

Wimborne 1

Larkhall 2

Concord Rangers 0

AFC Totton 5

Oxford City 1

St. Albans 4

Braintree 3

Potters 1

Chelmsford 1

Cheshunt 2

Stortford 5

Leiston 1

Canvey Island 0

Tonbridge 1

TBD -

Torquay -

King’s Lynn -

TBD -

Whitby 0

Nantwich 1

Aldershot -

TBD -

Kingstonian 4

Farnborough 1

Dover Ath. -

TBD -

Bromley -

Hemel Hempstead 1

Stourbridge 2

Felixstowe & Walton 0

Telford 4

Chesterfield -

TBD -

Ashton United 1

Guiseley 2

Farsley 1

Stalybridge 0

Southport 2

Darlington FC 1

AFC Fylde 1

Gateshead 0

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

Binfield 2

Truro 3

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Southend -

TBD -

Worthing FC 0

Dorking Wanderers 2

Radcliffe 5

Tamworth 1

Spennymoor 1

Chorley 0

Plymouth Parkway 1

Hampton & Richmond 0

Brentwood 1

Dulwich Hamlet 2

Matlock 3

Marske United 2

York City 1

Blyth Spartans 0

Slough Town 1

Havant & Waterlooville 0

Eastbourne Borough 2

Tiverton 1

Warrington Town 1

Morpeth 2

Liversedge 1

Lancaster 3

Brackley 1

Boston United 2

Hereford 1

Kidderminster 2

1/32-finals

Curzon Ashton 1

Alfreton 3

Bradford PA 3

Halifax 4

Notts County 2

Altrincham 1

Eastleigh 5

Enfield Town 0

Wrexham 5

Gloucester City 0

Folkestone 2

Uxbridge 0

Barnet 2

Boreham Wood 3

Maidenhead -

Maidstone -

Yeovil 3

Woking 1

Needham Market 2

Wealdstone 1

Cray Wanderers 1

Dartford 3

Hungerford 0

Weymouth 1

Stockport County 4

Grimsby 0

Larkhall 2

AFC Totton 1

St. Albans 1

Braintree 0

Cheshunt 1

Stortford 0

Tonbridge 2

Torquay 1

King’s Lynn 2

Nantwich 1

Aldershot 2

Kingstonian 1

Dover Ath. 0

Bromley 1

Stourbridge 3

Telford 2

Chesterfield -

Guiseley -

Farsley 0

Southport 3

AFC Fylde 0

Solihull Moors 1

Truro 1

Dagenham & Red. 2

Southend 2

Dorking Wanderers 1

Radcliffe 0

Spennymoor 1

Plymouth Parkway 2

Dulwich Hamlet 1

Matlock 0

York City 1

Slough Town 3

Eastbourne Borough 1

Morpeth 4

Lancaster 3

Boston United 4

Kidderminster 1

1/16-finals

Alfreton 1

Halifax 2

Notts County 2

Eastleigh 1

Wrexham 5

Folkestone 1

Boreham Wood 2

Maidstone 1

Yeovil 1

Needham Market 2

Dartford 1

Weymouth 0

Stockport County 3

Larkhall 0

St. Albans 0

Cheshunt 3

Tonbridge 2

King’s Lynn 1

Aldershot 0

Bromley 2

Stourbridge 1

Guiseley 0

Southport 0

Solihull Moors 3

Dagenham & Red. 2

Southend 0

Spennymoor 3

Plymouth Parkway 1

York City 1

Slough Town 0

Morpeth 4

Boston United 3

1/8-finals

Halifax 1

Notts County 2

Wrexham 3

Boreham Wood 0

Needham Market 1

Dartford 0

Stockport County 1

Cheshunt 0

Tonbridge 1

Bromley 2

Stourbridge 0

Solihull Moors 1

Dagenham & Red. 2

Spennymoor 0

York City 3

Morpeth 2

Quarter-finals

Notts County 1

Wrexham 2

Needham Market 0

Stockport County 3

Bromley 3

Solihull Moors 1

Dagenham & Red. 1

York City 2

Semi-finals

Wrexham 2

Stockport County 0

Bromley 3

York City 1

Final

Wrexham 0

Bromley 1

Welwyn Garden vs Carshalton

England

Welwyn Garden

Carshalton

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Welwyn Garden Compare

Carshalton Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Welwyn Garden

Carshalton

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA