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Welwyn Garden vs Mulbarton Wanderers

England England

FA Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Welwyn Garden play Mulbarton Wanderers in the FA Cup 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Welwyn Garden averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Mulbarton Wanderers averaged 1 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Welwyn Garden won 1, Mulbarton Wanderers won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 7, 2021 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Welwyn Garden and 1.25 for Mulbarton Wanderers. This points to a Welwyn Garden double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Welwyn Garden
22%
Draws
28%
Mulbarton Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Welwyn Garden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Welwyn Garden picked up more points recently compared to Mulbarton Wanderers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Welwyn Garden Clean Sheet 19%
Mulbarton Wanderers Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Welwyn Garden Mulbarton Wanderers
Matches Played 30 6
Wins 13 1
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.83 1
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2021 FA Cup
Welwyn Garden vs Mulbarton Wanderers
2:1
Sep 4, 2021 FA Cup
Mulbarton Wanderers vs Welwyn Garden
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Welwyn Garden 49 / 100
Mulbarton Wanderers 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Welwyn Garden Mulbarton Wanderers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Welwyn Garden or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Welwyn Garden attacking → ← attacking Mulbarton Wanderers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Welwyn Garden scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Mulbarton Wanderers let in goals in 67% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Welwyn Garden went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mulbarton Wanderers lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 6
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00