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Werder Bremen vs Hamburger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Weserstadion, Bremen
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Werder Bremen host Hamburger in the Bundesliga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Werder Bremen have averaged 1.86 scored and 1.68 conceded recently, against Hamburger's 1.34 scored and 1.86 conceded. Head-to-head, Werder Bremen have won 3 to Hamburger's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.81, favoring Werder Bremen. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Werder Bremen
20%
Draws
34%
Hamburger
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Werder Bremen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Werder Bremen come out ahead of Hamburger on wins alone.
  • Model gives Werder Bremen a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Werder Bremen Clean Sheet 11%
Hamburger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Werder Bremen Hamburger
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.86 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger
3:1
Dec 7, 2025 Bundesliga
Hamburger vs Werder Bremen
3:2
Feb 27, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Hamburger vs Werder Bremen
2:3
Sep 18, 2021 2. Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger
0:2
Feb 24, 2018 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Werder Bremen 65 / 100
Hamburger 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Werder Bremen Hamburger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Werder Bremen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Werder Bremen found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Hamburger conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Werder Bremen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Werder Bremen VS Hamburger
2 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Werder Bremen

(Home)
31 Oct
Werder Bremen
2 : 0
Hoffenheim
27 Oct
Dortmund
3 : 2
Werder Bremen
24 Oct
Mainz
2 : 3
Werder Bremen
17 Oct
Werder Bremen
2 : 2
Paderborn
09 Oct
Dortmund
2 : 2
Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 6

Hamburger

(Away)
01 Nov
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 : 1
Hamburger
27 Oct
Hamburger
1 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
24 Oct
Paderborn
1 : 0
Hamburger
17 Oct
Hamburger
1 : 0
VfB Stuttgart
10 Oct
Hoffenheim
2 : 3
Hamburger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 8 5 3 0 27:8 18
2 Dortmund 8 5 3 0 14:6 18
3 Freiburg 8 5 1 2 18:10 16
4 RB Leipzig 8 5 0 3 22:11 15
5 Werder Bremen 8 4 3 1 17:14 15
6 Bayer Leverkusen 8 4 1 3 18:16 13
7 Elversberg 8 4 1 3 16:16 13
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
9 Mainz 8 3 1 4 17:17 10
10 Augsburg 8 2 3 3 18:15 9
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 3 0 5 14:15 9
12 Hoffenheim 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
13 1. FC Koln 8 2 3 3 9:12 9
14 Paderborn 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
15 Hamburger 8 3 0 5 7:19 9
16 Union Berlin 8 1 4 3 7:19 7
17 Schalke 8 1 3 4 4:9 6
18 B. Monchengladbach 8 1 1 6 11:22 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)