Sport Picks
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger
Germany
Bundesliga 2025/2026 Weserstadion, Bremen 
Match Events
37'
37'
Stage J.
Assist: Sugawara Y.
41'
41'
Glatzel R.
Assist: Capaldo N.
45'
45'
Deman O.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Werder Bremen and Hamburger finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Werder Bremen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Werder Bremen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Werder Bremen carry the better recent record into this one.
- Werder Bremen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Werder Bremen Clean Sheet 19%
Hamburger Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Werder Bremen | Hamburger |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger
3:1
Dec 7, 2025 Bundesliga
Hamburger vs Werder Bremen
3:2
Feb 27, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Hamburger vs Werder Bremen
2:3
Sep 18, 2021 2. Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger
0:2
Feb 24, 2018 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Werder Bremen Compare
Top Goalscorer Stage J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Puertas C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Hamburger Compare
Top Goalscorer Glatzel R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Werder Bremen 85 / 100
Hamburger 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Werder Bremen Hamburger
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Werder Bremen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hamburger's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Attacking prowess: Werder Bremen scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Werder Bremen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Werder Bremen VS Hamburger
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Werder Bremen
(Home) 12 Sept
1. FC Koln
1 : 1 Werder Bremen
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1 RB Leipzig
30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Werder Bremen
22 Aug
Luneburger Hansa
0 : 3 Werder Bremen
15 Aug
Werder Bremen
0 : 1 Auxerre
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1 RB Leipzig
15 Aug
Werder Bremen
0 : 1 Auxerre
08 Aug
Werder Bremen
2 : 2 Paderborn
25 Jul
Werder Bremen
2 : 0 Bochum
22 Jul
Werder Bremen
2 : 0 Okayama
Page 1 of 3
Hamburger
(Away) 13 Sept
RB Leipzig
5 : 0 Hamburger
06 Sept
Hamburger
0 : 5 Mainz
29 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 0 Hamburger
24 Aug
Verl
0 : 3 Hamburger
15 Aug
Toulouse
1 : 2 Hamburger
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
RB Leipzig
5 : 0 Hamburger
29 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 0 Hamburger
24 Aug
Verl
0 : 3 Hamburger
15 Aug
Toulouse
1 : 2 Hamburger
25 Jul
Heidenheim
1 : 3 Hamburger
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
