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Werribee City vs Keilor Park

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League 2
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Werribee City host Keilor Park in the Victoria Premier League 2. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Werribee City have averaged 1 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Keilor Park's 1.13 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Werribee City have won 0 to Keilor Park's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.38, favoring Keilor Park. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Werribee City
44%
Draws
20%
Keilor Park
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Werribee City haven't matched Keilor Park's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Victoria Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Werribee City Clean Sheet 17%
Keilor Park Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Werribee City Keilor Park
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 1
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Keilor Park vs Werribee City
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Werribee City 36 / 100
Keilor Park 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Werribee City Keilor Park

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Werribee City scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Keilor Park let in goals in 72% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Werribee City stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Werribee City VS Keilor Park
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Malvern City18131442:2240
2Goulburn Valley Suns18123342:2539
3Essendon Royals20121749:3037
4Bayside Argonauts1894537:2831
5Box Hill1985629:2429
6Keilor Park1891825:2628
7Whittlesea United1975730:2226
8Springvale1965824:3523
9Nunawading City1864818:2922
10Eastern Lions1855828:2520
11Werribee City1955925:3220
12Kingston City18611118:3919
13Altona City1937917:2716
14Moreland City17251020:4011