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West Adelaide vs Campbelltown City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Kilburn Sportsplex, Adelaide
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Match Events

7' Event
Lobasso J.
14' Event
Grelli M.
17' Event
Conant H.

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia game between West Adelaide and Campbelltown City finished 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
West Adelaide
20%
Draws
47%
Campbelltown City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Campbelltown City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • West Adelaide carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Campbelltown City a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
West Adelaide Clean Sheet 18%
Campbelltown City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric West Adelaide Campbelltown City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.93 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs West Adelaide
0:0
Mar 28, 2026 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs Campbelltown City
4:4
Jul 1, 2023 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs Campbelltown City
0:3
Apr 8, 2023 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs West Adelaide
1:1
Aug 3, 2019 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs West Adelaide
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

West Adelaide Compare

Top Goalscorer Grelli M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ivanic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Campbelltown City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mori J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lobasso J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West Adelaide 28 / 100
Campbelltown City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
West Adelaide Campbelltown City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campbelltown City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: West Adelaide scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Campbelltown City conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

West Adelaide has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

West Adelaide VS Campbelltown City
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

West Adelaide

(Home)
15 Aug
West Adelaide
1 : 2
Playford Patriots
07 Aug
West Torrens Birkalla
6 : 1
West Adelaide
01 Aug
West Adelaide
2 : 1
Para
25 Jul
MetroStars
1 : 3
West Adelaide
18 Jul
West Adelaide
0 : 0
Sturt Lions FC
Page 1 of 6

Campbelltown City

(Away)
15 Aug
Sturt Lions FC
1 : 3
Campbelltown City
07 Aug
Campbelltown City
2 : 0
FK Beograd
31 Jul
Campbelltown City
0 : 4
Adelaide City
25 Jul
Croydon
2 : 2
Campbelltown City
17 Jul
Campbelltown City
1 : 0
Adelaide Comets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide City 22 14 6 2 44:16 48
2 West Torrens Birkalla 22 14 3 5 54:29 45
3 MetroStars 22 13 5 4 53:23 44
4 Playford Patriots 22 10 5 7 42:31 35
5 FK Beograd 22 10 3 9 35:30 33
6 Croydon 22 8 6 8 46:41 30
7 Adelaide Utd U23 22 7 8 7 33:32 29
8 Campbelltown City 22 8 5 9 35:36 29
9 Sturt Lions FC 22 8 3 11 35:36 27
10 West Adelaide 22 6 7 9 40:44 25
11 Adelaide Comets 22 5 5 12 25:38 20
12 Para 22 0 2 20 16:102 2
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)