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West End vs Aberdare Town

Wales Wales

Division 1 2013/2014
West End Logo

West End

2 - 1
FT
Aberdare Town Logo

Aberdare Town

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

West End in this Division 1 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored West End.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
West End
15%
Draws
57%
Aberdare Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aberdare Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Aberdare Town have won more games recently than West End.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on West End taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aberdare Town here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
West End Clean Sheet 10%
Aberdare Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric West End Aberdare Town
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 1.77 1
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2014 Division 1
West End vs Aberdare Town
2:1
Oct 5, 2013 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs West End
2:1
Mar 9, 2013 Division 1
West End vs Aberdare Town
0:2
Mar 5, 2013 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs West End
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West End 38 / 100
Aberdare Town 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
West End Aberdare Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West End Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: West End scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Aberdare Town let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Aberdare Town's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

West End VS Aberdare Town
3.25 Goals Scored 1
3.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

West End

(Home)
21 Sept
Cardiff Bay Warriors
2 : 0
West End
17 Sept
Canton
5 : 1
West End
14 Aug
West End
12 : 2
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
20 Oct
West End
0 : 6
Caldicot
31 Oct
West End
2 : 3
Cwmbran Celtic
Page 1 of 6

Aberdare Town

(Away)
06 Oct
Aberdare Town
0 : 1
Ammanford Town
06 May
Aberdare Town
1 : 2
Monmouth
30 Apr
Garden Village
0 : 1
Aberdare Town
26 Apr
Caerau Ely
5 : 1
Aberdare Town
23 Apr
Goytre AFC
2 : 3
Aberdare Town
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monmouth 30 21 2 7 78:33 65
2 Taffs Well 30 19 6 5 63:30 63
3 Penybont 30 17 4 9 77:44 55
4 Haverfordwest 30 16 7 7 59:37 55
5 Goytre AFC 30 15 9 6 49:43 54
6 Cambrian United 30 15 5 10 60:44 50
7 Caerau Ely 30 12 10 8 52:51 46
8 Aberdare Town 30 13 5 12 49:48 44
9 Goytre Utd 30 11 6 13 56:43 39
10 AFC Porth 30 10 9 11 48:49 39
11 Ton Pentre 30 9 11 10 36:47 38
12 Pontardawe 30 9 6 15 34:60 33
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 7 5 18 40:58 26
14 Tata Steel 30 6 7 17 29:65 25
15 Aberbargoed Buds 30 4 8 18 35:65 17
16 West End 30 5 2 23 36:84 17
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