Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Caldicot in this FA Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 0-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: West End
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Caldicot lately — more wins on the board than West End.
- Model gives West End a 43% chance of winning this.
- Caldicot arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Caldicot, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
West End Clean Sheet 10%
Caldicot Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | West End | Caldicot |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 19 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 21 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.8 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.23 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 20, 2018 FAW Welsh Cup
West End vs Caldicot
0:6
May 7, 2011 Division 1
Caldicot vs West End
2:3
Mar 12, 2011 Division 1
West End vs Caldicot
0:0
Mar 13, 2010 Division 1
West End vs Caldicot
1:0
Nov 21, 2009 Division 1
Caldicot vs West End
7:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
West End 47 / 100
Caldicot 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
West End Caldicot
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick West End Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
West End found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Caldicot conceded in 84% of 19 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Caldicot's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
West End VS Caldicot
4.33 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0.13
100% Over 1.5 0%
67% Over 2.5 0%
67% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
West End
(Home) 21 Sept
Cardiff Bay Warriors
2 : 0 West End
17 Sept
Canton
5 : 1 West End
14 Aug
West End
12 : 2 Penrhiwceiber Rangers
20 Oct
West End
0 : 6 Caldicot
31 Oct
West End
2 : 3 Cwmbran Celtic
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14 Aug
West End
12 : 2 Penrhiwceiber Rangers
20 Oct
West End
0 : 6 Caldicot
31 Oct
West End
2 : 3 Cwmbran Celtic
15 May
West End
2 : 3 Goytre Utd
29 Apr
West End
1 : 2 Taffs Well
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Caldicot
(Away) 18 Oct
Caldicot
0 : 2 Penrhiwceiber Rangers
20 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 3 Caldicot
21 Sept
Caldicot
1 : 2 Morriston Town
17 Sept
Pill
4 : 0 Caldicot
04 Sept
Pure Swansea
6 : 3 Caldicot
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20 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 3 Caldicot
17 Sept
Pill
4 : 0 Caldicot
04 Sept
Pure Swansea
6 : 3 Caldicot
01 Feb
Dinas Powys
1 : 1 Caldicot
28 Dec
Risca United
2 : 1 Caldicot
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cwmbran Town 3
Afan Lido 2
Pencoed 1
Ton Pentre 3
Cwmamman United 4
Dinas Powys 0
Garden Village 1
Blaenrhondda 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Haverfordwest 2
STM Sports 1
Trefelin 1
Pure Swansea 2
Goytre AFC 2
Radnor Valley 1
Llanidloes Town 1
Pontypridd United 2
Flint Town 2
Llanrhaeadr 1
Brickfield Rangers 3
Gresford 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berriew FC 3
Penrhyncoch 2
New Brighton Villa 1
Prestatyn 5
Holyhead 4
Corwen 2
Coedpoeth 2
Ruthin Town 3
Cefn Albion 7
Dolgellau Athletic 1
Mold Alexandra 2
Bangor City 4
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontyclun FC 3
Llantwit Major 1
Penlan Club 0
Goytre Utd 1
Guilsfield 2
Rhostyllen 0
Llandudno Amateurs 2
Nantlle Vale FC 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sully Sports 3
Brecon Corinthians 1
Ammanford Town 0
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Porthmadog 3
Pwllheli 0
Hawarden Rangers 2
Llanfair United 3
Llay Welfare 2
Rhydymwyn 0
Penycae FC 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Llangefni 2
Borth United 0
Llandudno Albion 3
St. Asaph 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli -
Briton Ferry 1
Caerau Ely 0
Cornelly 2
Treharris Athletic 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Cambrian United 5
Port Talbot 0
West End 0
Caldicot 6
Buckley 3
Brymbo 1
Holyhead Town 3
Denbigh 9
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caersws FC 3
Holywell Town FC 2
Conwy Borough 1
Rhyl 2
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monmouth 4
Undy 3
Taffs Well 1
Ynysddu Welfare 2
Penybont 3
Panteg 1
Llandrindod 1
Aberbargoed Buds 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barry Town -
1/32-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Cwmbran Town 1
Ton Pentre 2
Cwmamman United 2
Blaenrhondda 1
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Haverfordwest 4
Pure Swansea 3
Goytre AFC 3
Pontypridd United 6
Flint Town 3
Gresford 2
TBD -
Bala -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
Berriew FC 3
Prestatyn 6
Holyhead 3
Ruthin Town 1
Cefn Albion 1
Bangor City 6
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Pontyclun FC 0
Goytre Utd 1
Guilsfield 4
Nantlle Vale FC 3
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
Sully Sports 1
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Porthmadog 4
Llanfair United 1
Llay Welfare 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 9
Llangefni 5
St. Asaph 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
Briton Ferry 4
Treharris Athletic 3
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Cambrian United 3
Caldicot 2
Buckley 1
Denbigh 3
Newtown -
TBD -
Caersws FC 1
Rhyl 3
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Monmouth 1
Ynysddu Welfare 3
Penybont 2
Aberbargoed Buds 0
TBD -
Barry Town -
1/16-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Ton Pentre 1
Cwmamman United 3
Aberystwyth 4
Haverfordwest 3
Pontypridd United 0
Flint Town 0
Bala 3
Caernarfon 3
Prestatyn 0
Holyhead 1
Bangor City 4
Carmarthen Town 3
Goytre Utd 0
Guilsfield 2
Connahs Q. 4
TNS 3
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Porthmadog 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Llangefni 1
Llanelli 0
Briton Ferry 2
Llandudno FC 3
Cambrian United 2
Denbigh 1
Newtown 1
Rhyl 2
Cefn Druids 3
Ynysddu Welfare 1
Penybont 1
Barry Town 4
1/8-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Aberystwyth 1
Haverfordwest 0
Bala 4
Caernarfon 2
Bangor City 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Connahs Q. 3
TNS 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Llangefni 1
Llandudno FC 3
Cambrian United 3
Rhyl 2
Cefn Druids 2
Barry Town 3
Quarter-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Bala 0
Caernarfon 1
Connahs Q. 2
TNS 8
Llandudno FC 1
Cambrian United 2
Barry Town 3
Semi-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Connahs Q. 3
TNS 2
Barry Town 0
Final
Connahs Q. 0
TNS 3
