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West End vs Haverfordwest

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Haverfordwest advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
West End
15%
Draws
65%
Haverfordwest
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haverfordwest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Haverfordwest carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Haverfordwest arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Haverfordwest, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
West End Clean Sheet 11%
Haverfordwest Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric West End Haverfordwest
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 2 3
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2014 Division 1
West End vs Haverfordwest
2:1
Oct 26, 2013 Division 1
Haverfordwest vs West End
1:1
Oct 12, 2013 FAW Welsh Cup
West End vs Haverfordwest
2:3
Apr 16, 2013 Division 1
West End vs Haverfordwest
1:1
Oct 20, 2012 Division 1
Haverfordwest vs West End
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West End 30 / 100
Haverfordwest 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
West End Haverfordwest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haverfordwest Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

West End found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Haverfordwest conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

West End has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Haverfordwest
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

West End

(Home)
21 Sept
Cardiff Bay Warriors
2 : 0
West End
17 Sept
Canton
5 : 1
West End
14 Aug
West End
12 : 2
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
20 Oct
West End
0 : 6
Caldicot
31 Oct
West End
2 : 3
Cwmbran Celtic
Page 1 of 6

Haverfordwest

(Away)
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1
Haverfordwest
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Trefelin
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guilsfield 6
Machynlleth 1
Gwalchmai 2
Llanfair United 3
Rhydymwyn 2
Caerwys 1
Pwllheli 0
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Cambrian United 4
Butetown FC 0
Goytre AFC 1
Pontardawe 2
Goytre Utd 3
Trefelin 1
Newcastle Emlyn 1
Chepstow Town 2
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nefyn United 2
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 1
Denbigh 0
Caersws FC 2
Porthmadog 1
Mold Alexandra 0
Llanrug 1
Caernarfon 4
Ton Pentre 3
Fairfield United FC 0
Llwydcoed 1
Sully Sports 3
Llanidloes Town 3
Glan Conwy FC 1
Llanrhaeadr 1
Llandudno FC 5
Treharris Athletic 3
Llantwit Major 2
AFC Porth 1
Monmouth 2
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haverfordwest 3
West End 2
Aberaeron 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Llandrindod 3
Newport Civil Service 0
Cardiff Hibernian 0
Caerau Ely 4
Penycae FC 7
Brickfield Rangers 4
Penrhyncoch 0
Holywell Town FC 3
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Town 3
Llanberis FC 1
Llanrwst United 3
Conwy Borough 4
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
Penybont 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Splott 1
Caldicot 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Aberdare Town 4
Treowen 2
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Briton Ferry 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Buckley 2
Llangollen 0
Chirk AAA FC 0
Rhayader 1
Tywyn Bryncrug 3
Berriew FC 2
Glantraeth FC 2
Bodedern 3
Cefn Druids 3
Holyhead 0
Coedpoeth 2
Barmouth & Dyffryn United 6
Undy 5
Presteigne St. Andrews 2
Taffs Well 0
Barry Town 1
Rhoose FC 2
Garden Village 1
Bridgend Street 1
Tata Steel 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
1/32-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
Guilsfield 1
Llanfair United 2
Rhydymwyn 4
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 1
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Cambrian United 2
Pontardawe 0
Goytre Utd 0
Chepstow Town 1
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
Nefyn United 1
Caersws FC 3
Porthmadog 2
Caernarfon 1
Ton Pentre 0
Sully Sports 1
Llanidloes Town 2
Llandudno FC 0
Treharris Athletic 1
Monmouth 7
Newtown -
TBD -
Haverfordwest 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 6
Llandrindod 4
Caerau Ely 3
Penycae FC 0
Holywell Town FC 3
TNS -
TBD -
Flint Town 2
Conwy Borough 3
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
Penybont 0
Caldicot 3
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Aberdare Town 3
Briton Ferry 2
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Buckley 1
Rhayader 0
Tywyn Bryncrug 1
Bodedern 5
Cefn Druids 3
Barmouth & Dyffryn United 1
Undy 3
Barry Town 4
Rhoose FC 1
Tata Steel 0
TBD -
Bala -
1/16-finals
Aberystwyth 4
Llanfair United 2
Rhydymwyn 0
Afan Lido 2
Cambrian United 3
Chepstow Town 1
Connahs Q. 1
Caersws FC 2
Porthmadog 2
Sully Sports 1
Llanidloes Town 1
Monmouth 2
Newtown 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Llandrindod 1
Holywell Town FC 3
TNS 2
Conwy Borough 1
Port Talbot 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Bangor City 2
Rhyl 1
Penybont 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Aberdare Town 4
Prestatyn 2
Buckley 0
Bodedern 2
Cefn Druids 5
Barry Town 2
Rhoose FC 1
Bala 6
1/8-finals
Aberystwyth 5
Afan Lido 1
Cambrian United 3
Caersws FC 4
Porthmadog 3
Monmouth 2
Newtown 2
Holywell Town FC 3
TNS 2
Carmarthen Town 0
Bangor City 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Aberdare Town 4
Bodedern 1
Cefn Druids 0
Bala 5
Quarter-finals
Aberystwyth 2
Caersws FC 1
Porthmadog 1
Holywell Town FC 2
TNS 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Aberdare Town 1
Bala 2
Semi-finals
Aberystwyth 3
Holywell Town FC 1
TNS 2
Bala 1
Final
Aberystwyth 2
TNS 3