Sport Picks

Stadium Background

West Ham U21 vs Aston Villa U21

England England

Premier League 2 2025/2026 Rush Green Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Caliste G.
54'
Sub
Hemmings G. In: Kone M.
Out: Hemmings G.
54'
Sub
Wilson R. In: Cotcher M.
Out: Wilson R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2025/2026 game between West Ham U21 and Aston Villa U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward West Ham U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
West Ham U21
30%
Draws
31%
Aston Villa U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: West Ham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • West Ham U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on West Ham U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
West Ham U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Aston Villa U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric West Ham U21 Aston Villa U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.1 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2025 Premier League 2
West Ham U21 vs Aston Villa U21
1:0
Apr 11, 2016 Premier League U21
Aston Villa U21 vs West Ham U21
3:2
Aug 24, 2015 Premier League U21
West Ham U21 vs Aston Villa U21
1:2
Aug 12, 2013 Premier League U21
West Ham U21 vs Aston Villa U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

West Ham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caliste G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Aston Villa U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West Ham U21 66 / 100
Aston Villa U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
West Ham U21 Aston Villa U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Ham U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

West Ham U21 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Aston Villa U21 conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

West Ham U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

West Ham U21 VS Aston Villa U21
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

West Ham U21

(Home)
08 Sept
Aldershot
0 : 3
West Ham U21
04 Sept
West Ham U21
1 : 1
Brighton U21
31 Aug
Chelsea U21
5 : 4
West Ham U21
25 Aug
Sheffield Utd U21
3 : 1
West Ham U21
21 Aug
West Ham U21
0 : 0
Southampton U21
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Aston Villa U21

(Away)
11 Sept
Fulham U21
3 : 3
Aston Villa U21
02 Sept
Aston Villa U21
0 : 4
Brondby U21
28 Aug
Aston Villa U21
0 : 2
Crystal Palace U21
21 Aug
Aston Villa U21
2 : 1
Brighton U21
18 Aug
Wigan
3 : 2
Aston Villa U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U21 20 14 1 5 52:25 43
2 Manchester United U21 20 13 4 3 43:26 43
3 Manchester City U21 20 13 1 6 59:21 40
4 Fulham U21 20 11 5 4 48:32 38
5 Ipswich U21 20 12 2 6 45:45 38
6 Southampton U21 20 10 6 4 36:29 36
7 Liverpool U21 20 11 2 7 49:36 35
8 Tottenham U21 20 11 2 7 42:32 35
9 Leicester U21 20 9 4 7 48:42 31
10 Crystal Palace U21 20 9 4 7 36:31 31
11 Aston Villa U21 20 9 4 7 32:35 31
12 Brighton U21 20 8 6 6 38:25 30
13 West Ham U21 20 8 6 6 44:35 30
14 Arsenal U21 20 8 5 7 28:33 29
15 Sunderland U21 20 8 4 8 41:40 28
16 Middlesbrough U21 20 7 6 7 37:28 27
17 Nottingham U21 20 8 2 10 23:23 26
18 Everton U21 20 7 4 9 33:36 25
19 Reading U21 20 7 4 9 29:36 25
20 Stoke City U21 20 7 4 9 29:42 25
21 Newcastle Utd U21 20 6 6 8 30:35 24
22 Wolves U21 20 6 5 9 30:45 23
23 Norwich U21 20 5 5 10 32:42 20
24 Derby U21 20 5 5 10 26:44 20
25 Leeds U21 20 5 3 12 28:40 18
26 West Brom U21 20 5 3 12 26:41 18
27 Birmingham U21 20 4 5 11 26:52 17
28 Blackburn U21 20 4 2 14 27:46 14
29 Burnley U21 20 3 4 13 22:42 13
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
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