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West Virginia vs Dayton

USA USA

USL League Two
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between West Virginia and Dayton finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward West Virginia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
West Virginia
15%
Draws
42%
Dayton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: West Virginia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Dayton haven't matched West Virginia's recent run of results.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
West Virginia Clean Sheet 19%
Dayton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric West Virginia Dayton
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.67 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.43 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 USL League Two
Dayton vs West Virginia
1:0
Jun 27, 2026 USL League Two
West Virginia vs Dayton
2:1
Jul 6, 2025 USL League Two
West Virginia vs Dayton
2:1
Jun 25, 2025 USL League Two
Dayton vs West Virginia
2:3
Jun 25, 2019 USL League Two
West Virginia vs Dayton
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West Virginia 36 / 100
Dayton 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
West Virginia Dayton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dayton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

West Virginia's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Dayton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Dayton lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

West Virginia VS Dayton
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

West Virginia

(Home)
16 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 0
West Virginia
09 Jul
Dayton
1 : 0
West Virginia
07 Jul
West Virginia
3 : 1
Louisville City 2
01 Jul
Kings Hammer Columbus
3 : 1
West Virginia
27 Jun
West Virginia
2 : 1
Dayton
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Dayton

(Away)
12 Jul
Northern Indiana
3 : 2
Dayton
09 Jul
Dayton
1 : 0
West Virginia
06 Jul
Kings Hammer Columbus
2 : 1
Dayton
27 Jun
West Virginia
2 : 1
Dayton
23 Jun
Toledo Villa
0 : 1
Dayton
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