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West Wallsend FC vs Thornton Redbacks

Australia Australia

Northern NSW State League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Clarke S.
43' Event
Lowe J.
45' Event
Lowe J.

AI Match Summary

The Northern NSW State League 2025 game between West Wallsend FC and Thornton Redbacks finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward West Wallsend FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
West Wallsend FC
22%
Draws
18%
Thornton Redbacks
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: West Wallsend FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Thornton Redbacks haven't matched West Wallsend FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans West Wallsend FC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Northern NSW State League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
West Wallsend FC Clean Sheet 10%
Thornton Redbacks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric West Wallsend FC Thornton Redbacks
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 3 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Thornton Redbacks vs West Wallsend FC
1:4
Mar 15, 2025 Northern NSW State League
West Wallsend FC vs Thornton Redbacks
4:1
Jun 22, 2024 Northern NSW State League
West Wallsend FC vs Thornton Redbacks
5:2
May 22, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Thornton Redbacks vs West Wallsend FC
1:1
Mar 1, 2024 Northern NSW State League
West Wallsend FC vs Thornton Redbacks
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

West Wallsend FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lowe J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Clarke S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Thornton Redbacks Compare

Top Goalscorer Kulupach L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West Wallsend FC 56 / 100
Thornton Redbacks 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
West Wallsend FC Thornton Redbacks

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thornton Redbacks let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

West Wallsend FC scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

West Wallsend FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

West Wallsend FC VS Thornton Redbacks
1.88 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kahibah18152148:1947
2Toronto Awaba Stags18122447:1938
3West Wallsend FC1867535:3025
4Singleton Strikers1864829:2722
5Dudley Redhead United18711023:3322
6Wallsend Red Devils1863926:3721
7Lake Macquarie18621037:4320
8South Cardiff1855824:4120
9Cessnock City Hornets1854922:3019
10Thornton Redbacks1854928:4019