Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Westchester SC vs Greenville Triumph

USA USA

USL League One The Stadium at Memorial Field, Mount Vernon, NY
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Diaz M.
32' Event
Jennings M.
Assist: Armas A.
42'
Evans K.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Westchester SC and Greenville Triumph finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Westchester SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Westchester SC
15%
Draws
28%
Greenville Triumph
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Westchester SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Westchester SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Westchester SC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Westchester SC Clean Sheet 12%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Westchester SC Greenville Triumph
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.7 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 USL League One
Westchester SC vs Greenville Triumph
4:0
Mar 29, 2026 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Westchester SC
4:2
Jul 2, 2025 USL League One
Westchester SC vs Greenville Triumph
0:3
Mar 8, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Westchester SC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Westchester SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jennings M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Greenville Triumph Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Westchester SC 83 / 100
Greenville Triumph 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Westchester SC Greenville Triumph

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Westchester SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Greenville Triumph conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Westchester SC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Greenville Triumph's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Westchester SC VS Greenville Triumph
2 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Westchester SC

(Home)
19 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2
Westchester SC
16 Sept
Westchester SC
5 : 2
Richmond Kickers
12 Sept
Charlotte Independence
5 : 4
Westchester SC
06 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1
Westchester SC
02 Sept
Westchester SC
0 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Page 1 of 6

Greenville Triumph

(Away)
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0
Greenville Triumph
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1
Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Fort Wayne
05 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 1
Greenville Triumph
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0
FC Naples
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 28 18 4 6 50:30 58
2 Charlotte Independence 27 17 5 5 63:39 56
3 Forward Madison 27 15 6 6 50:26 51
4 One Knoxville 27 13 8 6 44:31 47
5 Athletic Club Boise 27 13 7 7 43:37 46
6 Chattanooga Red Wolves 26 13 4 9 47:38 43
7 Spokane Velocity 24 12 4 8 36:33 40
8 Fort Wayne 26 10 7 9 41:35 37
9 Corpus Christi FC 26 8 9 9 30:36 33
10 AV Alta FC 28 8 8 12 34:40 32
11 Sarasota Paradise 26 8 6 12 33:39 30
12 Portland Hearts of Pine 27 7 9 11 39:46 30
13 Westchester SC 27 8 5 14 46:45 29
14 FC Naples 26 8 4 14 29:43 28
15 Greenville Triumph 26 6 5 15 29:48 23
16 New York Cosmos 26 6 4 16 32:52 22
17 Richmond Kickers 26 5 5 16 25:53 20
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)