Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Westerlo vs Genk

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Het Kuipje, Westerlo
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Medina Y.
19'
Alcocer J.
38'
Ito J.

AI Match Summary

Genk in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Genk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Westerlo
22%
Draws
18%
Genk
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Westerlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Genk have won more games recently than Westerlo.
  • Westerlo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Genk here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 13%
Genk Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Westerlo Genk
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Westerlo
3:0
Apr 18, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Genk
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Westerlo
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Genk
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Genk
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrao A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Genk Compare

Top Goalscorer El Ouahdi Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bibout A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Westerlo 57 / 100
Genk 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Westerlo Genk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Westerlo scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Genk has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Westerlo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Westerlo VS Genk
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Westerlo

(Home)
29 Jul
Westerlo
1 : 1
Kifisia
25 Jul
Dunkerque
3 : 1
Westerlo
22 Jul
Westerlo
0 : 0
Al Fayha
18 Jul
Westerlo
0 : 2
Beerschot VA
12 Jul
Helmond Sport
0 : 2
Westerlo
Page 1 of 6

Genk

(Away)
29 Jul
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Genk
22 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0
Genk
18 Jul
Falkirk
1 : 0
Genk
17 Jul
Motherwell
3 : 4
Genk
11 Jul
Sittard
2 : 1
Genk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Genk1045111:638
8St. Liege1052317:1137
9Charleroi1052312:834
10Westerlo1041514:1733
11Antwerp1041512:1631
12Leuven101369:1723
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)