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Westerlo vs Royal Excel Mouscron

Belgium Belgium

1B Pro League 2021/2022 Het Kuipje, Westerlo
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Angiulli M.
61'
Sub
Gonzalez J. In: Vroman M.
Out: Gonzalez J.
62'
Sub
Vetokele I. In: Daci E.
Out: Vetokele I.

AI Match Summary

The 1B Pro League 2021/2022 game between Westerlo and Royal Excel Mouscron finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Westerlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Westerlo
15%
Draws
26%
Royal Excel Mouscron
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Westerlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Westerlo come out ahead of Royal Excel Mouscron on wins alone.
  • Model gives Westerlo a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Westerlo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 16%
Royal Excel Mouscron Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Westerlo Royal Excel Mouscron
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.53 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2022 Challenger Pro League
Royal Excel Mouscron vs Westerlo
2:6
Feb 12, 2022 Challenger Pro League
Westerlo vs Royal Excel Mouscron
1:0
Dec 5, 2021 Challenger Pro League
Westerlo vs Royal Excel Mouscron
4:3
Sep 26, 2021 Challenger Pro League
Royal Excel Mouscron vs Westerlo
1:2
Dec 20, 2016 Jupiler Pro League
Royal Excel Mouscron vs Westerlo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vaesen K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Royal Excel Mouscron Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Westerlo 84 / 100
Royal Excel Mouscron 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Westerlo Royal Excel Mouscron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Westerlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Westerlo scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Royal Excel Mouscron's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Westerlo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Westerlo VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Westerlo

(Home)
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2
St. Liege
05 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 4
Westerlo
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
23 Aug
Lommel SK
4 : 0
Westerlo
15 Aug
Genk
3 : 2
Westerlo
Page 1 of 7

Royal Excel Mouscron

(Away)
17 Apr
SK Beveren
2 : 0
Royal Excel Mouscron
08 Apr
Royal Excel Mouscron
2 : 6
Westerlo
03 Apr
Virton
2 : 0
Royal Excel Mouscron
18 Mar
Royal Excel Mouscron
1 : 2
Deinze
13 Mar
Lierse SK
0 : 1
Royal Excel Mouscron
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Westerlo 28 17 5 6 52:29 56
2 RWDM Brussels 28 14 7 7 41:33 49
3 SK Beveren 28 12 5 11 47:40 41
4 Deinze 28 9 12 7 47:39 39
5 Lierse SK 28 9 9 10 39:42 36
6 Lommel SK 28 9 8 11 39:40 35
7 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 8 6 14 31:45 30
8 Virton 28 5 6 17 24:52 21
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 1B Pro League 2021/2022 (Promotion)