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Westerlo vs Royale Union SG

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Het Kuipje, Westerlo
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Bassette N.
Assist: Sakamoto I.
25'
Mac Allister K.
28' Event
David P.
Assist: Zeneli B.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League game between Westerlo and Royale Union SG finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Royale Union SG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Westerlo
15%
Draws
58%
Royale Union SG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Royale Union SG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Westerlo haven't matched Royale Union SG's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Royale Union SG taking it.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 10%
Royale Union SG Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Westerlo Royale Union SG
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 20
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.28 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Royale Union SG
1:5
Mar 1, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Royale Union SG
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Royale Union SG vs Westerlo
2:0
Dec 15, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Royale Union SG vs Westerlo
3:1
Aug 10, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Royale Union SG
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bassette N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Royale Union SG Compare

Top Goalscorer David P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Florucz R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Westerlo 10 / 100
Royale Union SG 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Westerlo Royale Union SG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Royale Union SG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Westerlo scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Westerlo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Royale Union SG has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Westerlo VS Royale Union SG
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Westerlo

(Home)
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2
St. Liege
05 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 4
Westerlo
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
23 Aug
Lommel SK
4 : 0
Westerlo
15 Aug
Genk
3 : 2
Westerlo
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Royale Union SG

(Away)
17 Sept
Plzen
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
12 Sept
Royale Union SG
5 : 0
Lommel SK
05 Sept
Charleroi
2 : 3
Royale Union SG
02 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
30 Aug
Royale Union SG
3 : 0
Anderlecht
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gent 7 6 1 0 13:4 19
2 Royale Union SG 6 5 1 0 19:3 16
3 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 12:3 15
4 Charleroi 6 5 0 1 12:5 15
5 Waregem 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 St. Liege 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
7 Anderlecht 6 3 1 2 4:5 10
8 SK Beveren 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
9 Genk 6 2 3 1 13:9 9
10 St. Truiden 6 2 2 2 12:10 8
11 Antwerp 6 2 1 3 11:13 7
12 Lommel SK 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
13 Westerlo 6 2 1 3 13:16 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
15 Cercle Brugge 6 0 3 3 6:11 3
16 KV Mechelen 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
17 Leuven 6 0 1 5 3:13 1
18 Kortrijk 6 0 0 6 1:15 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)