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Western Springs vs Wellington Olympic

New Zealand New Zealand

National League 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Western Springs play Wellington Olympic in the National League 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Western Springs averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. Wellington Olympic averaged 2.55 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Western Springs won 0, Wellington Olympic won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 3, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Western Springs and 1.56 for Wellington Olympic. This points to a Wellington Olympic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Western Springs
15%
Draws
48%
Wellington Olympic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Western Springs picked up more points recently compared to Wellington Olympic.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Western Springs Clean Sheet 15%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Western Springs Wellington Olympic
Matches Played 23 33
Wins 12 19
Draws 1 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.09 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2025 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Western Springs
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 National League
Western Springs vs Wellington Olympic
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Western Springs Compare

Top Goalscorer Manuel J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tobin P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Wellington Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Prins I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bouzoukis G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Western Springs 36 / 100
Wellington Olympic 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Western Springs Wellington Olympic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wellington Olympic or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.28
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Western Springs attacking → ← attacking Wellington Olympic

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Western Springs scored in 87% of their last 23 games.

Wellington Olympic let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Western Springs went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Wellington Olympic lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 61
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Birkenhead962123:1620
2Auckland City961220:1019
3Western Springs960325:1618
4Napier City952221:1417
5Wellington Phoenix 2941416:1913
6Wellington Olympic932417:1511
7Coastal Spirit932418:2011
8Cashmere Technical923416:189
9Eastern Suburbs91268:175
10Western Suburbs91179:284