Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Western Suburbs vs Napier City

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Napier City in this Chatham Cup 2015 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Western Suburbs
15%
Draws
59%
Napier City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Napier City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Napier City have won more games recently than Western Suburbs.
  • Napier City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Napier City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Napier City, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • Napier City have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 71%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Western Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
Napier City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Western Suburbs Napier City
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 10 16
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.7 2.08
Goals Conceded 2.3 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2024 National League
Western Suburbs vs Napier City
2:4
Jul 7, 2019 Chatham Cup
Napier City vs Western Suburbs
4:1
Aug 8, 2015 Chatham Cup
Western Suburbs vs Napier City
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Western Suburbs 10 / 100
Napier City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Western Suburbs Napier City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napier City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napier City let in goals in 90% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Attacking prowess: Western Suburbs scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Western Suburbs has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Western Suburbs VS Napier City
2.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 83%
88% Over 2.5 83%
75% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Western Suburbs

(Home)
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7
Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Miramar
2 : 1
Western Suburbs
23 Nov
Western Suburbs
1 : 0
Auckland United
15 Nov
Christchurch
3 : 1
Western Suburbs
09 Nov
Western Suburbs
1 : 1
Auckland FC 2
Page 1 of 6

Napier City

(Away)
16 Aug
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Napier City
26 Jul
Hibiscus Coast
2 : 5
Napier City
04 Jul
Petone
0 : 4
Napier City
06 Jul
Napier City
2 : 3
Wellington Olympic
23 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Napier City
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Cashmere Technical 3
Coastal Spirit 1
Tauranga 1
Eastern Suburbs 2
Dunedin 6
Mosgiel 1
Mangere United 3
Papakura City 1
Birkenhead 2
East Coast 0
Central United 2
Three Kings 0
Wairarapa United 2
Western Suburbs 7
Wellington Olympic 3
Napier City 4
Quarter-finals
Cashmere Technical 1
Eastern Suburbs 2
Dunedin 1
Mangere United 2
Birkenhead 3
Central United 0
Western Suburbs 0
Napier City 3
Semi-finals
Eastern Suburbs 4
Mangere United 0
Birkenhead 1
Napier City 2
Final
Eastern Suburbs 2
Napier City 1