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Western Suburbs vs Wellington Phoenix 2

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Endeavour Park
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Marlow-Jones R.
44' Event
Gillion F.
45' Event
Sloane-Rodrigues G.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Western Suburbs and Wellington Phoenix 2 finished 2-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wellington Phoenix 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Western Suburbs
33%
Draws
40%
Wellington Phoenix 2
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Wellington Phoenix 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Wellington Phoenix 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Wellington Phoenix 2 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Western Suburbs Clean Sheet 16%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Western Suburbs Wellington Phoenix 2
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 5 12
Draws 2 2
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 2.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2025 National League
Western Suburbs vs Wellington Phoenix 2
2:7
Nov 3, 2024 National League
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Western Suburbs
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Western Suburbs Compare

Top Goalscorer Marlow-Jones R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Freeman T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Wellington Phoenix 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gillion F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas H.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Western Suburbs 28 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 2 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Western Suburbs Wellington Phoenix 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington Phoenix 2 has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Western Suburbs scored in 71% of their last 21 outings.

Wellington Phoenix 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Western Suburbs VS Wellington Phoenix 2
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Olympic1070323:1421
2Auckland City1062219:1420
3Miramar1061325:1419
4Auckland FC 21053217:1018
5Western Springs1051416:1316
6Birkenhead1050520:2115
7Christchurch1042416:1914
8Wellington Phoenix 21031618:2110
9Western Suburbs1031619:2110
10Auckland United1022611:198
11Coastal Spirit102175:237