Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Western Suburbs vs Western Springs

New Zealand New Zealand

National League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Tobin P.
55' Event
Manuel R.
56' Event
Ellis M.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2024 game between Western Suburbs and Western Springs finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Western Springs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Western Suburbs
15%
Draws
51%
Western Springs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Western Springs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Western Suburbs haven't matched Western Springs's recent run of results.
  • Western Springs are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular National League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Western Suburbs Clean Sheet 11%
Western Springs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Western Suburbs Western Springs
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 10 12
Draws 2 1
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.68 2.08
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 National League
Western Springs vs Western Suburbs
3:0
Nov 17, 2024 National League
Western Suburbs vs Western Springs
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Western Suburbs Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Western Springs Compare

Top Goalscorer Tobin P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manuel R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Western Suburbs 14 / 100
Western Springs 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Western Suburbs Western Springs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Western Springs Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Western Springs let in goals in 80% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Western Suburbs's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Western Springs registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Western Suburbs VS Western Springs
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Western Suburbs

(Home)
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7
Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Miramar
2 : 1
Western Suburbs
23 Nov
Western Suburbs
1 : 0
Auckland United
15 Nov
Christchurch
3 : 1
Western Suburbs
09 Nov
Western Suburbs
1 : 1
Auckland FC 2
Page 1 of 7

Western Springs

(Away)
07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1
Western Springs
30 Nov
Western Springs
1 : 3
Auckland City
23 Nov
Coastal Spirit
1 : 0
Western Springs
09 Nov
Western Springs
3 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
01 Nov
Miramar
1 : 2
Western Springs
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Birkenhead 9 6 2 1 23:16 20
2 Auckland City 9 6 1 2 20:10 19
3 Western Springs 9 6 0 3 25:16 18
4 Napier City 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
5 Wellington Phoenix 2 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
6 Wellington Olympic 9 3 2 4 17:15 11
7 Coastal Spirit 9 3 2 4 18:20 11
8 Cashmere Technical 9 2 3 4 16:18 9
9 Eastern Suburbs 9 1 2 6 8:17 5
10 Western Suburbs 9 1 1 7 9:28 4
Promotion - National League 2024 (Grand Final)