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Western United U21 vs North Geelong Warriors

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Nepomuceno G.
27' Event
Leonard M.
(Penalty)
29' Event
Al Sheikh A.

AI Match Summary

Western United U21 in this Victoria Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Western United U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Western United U21
30%
Draws
34%
North Geelong Warriors
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Western United U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Western United U21 lately — more wins on the board than North Geelong Warriors.
  • Win probability leans Western United U21's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Victoria Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Western United U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Western United U21 Clean Sheet 10%
North Geelong Warriors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Western United U21 North Geelong Warriors
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Western United U21 vs North Geelong Warriors
3:2
Jun 23, 2024 Victoria Premier League
Western United U21 vs North Geelong Warriors
2:2
Mar 16, 2024 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs Western United U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Western United U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Sheikh A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Back A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

North Geelong Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Nepomuceno G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chapman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Western United U21 34 / 100
North Geelong Warriors 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Western United U21 North Geelong Warriors

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Western United U21 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

North Geelong Warriors has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Western United U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Western United U21 VS North Geelong Warriors
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Melbourne Knights20132535:1641
2Northcote City20123534:2039
3Brunswick Juventus20130740:3039
4Melbourne Victory U212094748:3531
5Eltham Redbacks2094748:3531
6Bulleen2086633:2730
7Melbourne Srbija1992824:2229
8Manningham United Blues2092934:3829
9North Geelong Warriors1991933:3728
10Western United U2120811142:5025
11Brunswick City20731036:4224
12Langwarrin2065936:4523
13North Sunshine Eagles20531228:3618
14Port Melbourne Sharks20241410:4810