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Western United vs Auckland City

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Naka J.
39'
Sub
Maezama A. In: Kini F.
Out: Maezama A.
41'
Kilifa N.

AI Match Summary

Auckland City in this OFC Champions League 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auckland City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Western United
6%
Draws
90%
Auckland City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Auckland City have won more games recently than Western United.
  • Model gives Auckland City a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2017 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Western United Clean Sheet 22%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Western United Auckland City
Matches Played 6 32
Wins 2 20
Draws 0 5
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2017 OFC Champions League
Western United vs Auckland City
1:2
Apr 14, 2015 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Western United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Western United Compare

Top Goalscorer Naka J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer White D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tade E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Western United 10 / 100
Auckland City 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Western United Auckland City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Western United found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (6 games).

Auckland City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Western United stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Auckland City
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Magenta330011:39
2Central Sport320112:76
3Madang Fox31027:153
4PNG Hekari00000:00
5Lupe ole Soaga30034:90
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Team Wellington330015:29
2Hienghene Sport31115:54
3Ba31112:94
4Puaikura30032:80
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City330015:19
2Western United32018:66
3Lae City31028:93
4Malampa Revivors30033:180
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tefana32108:47
2Marist31117:64
3Erakor Golden Star31025:73
4Rewa31024:73