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Weston-super-Mare vs AFC Totton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Ash B.
42' Event
Ash B.
56' Event
Cane J.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Weston-super-Mare and AFC Totton finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Weston-super-Mare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Weston-super-Mare
15%
Draws
26%
AFC Totton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Weston-super-Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • AFC Totton haven't matched Weston-super-Mare's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Weston-super-Mare's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Weston-super-Mare Clean Sheet 20%
AFC Totton Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Weston-super-Mare AFC Totton
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs AFC Totton
3:1
Mar 10, 2026 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs AFC Totton
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 National League South
AFC Totton vs Weston-super-Mare
3:1
Oct 26, 2019 FA Trophy
AFC Totton vs Weston-super-Mare
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Weston-super-Mare Compare

Top Goalscorer Ash B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cane J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

AFC Totton Compare

Top Goalscorer Hallett L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Weston-super-Mare 76 / 100
AFC Totton 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Weston-super-Mare AFC Totton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Weston-super-Mare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Totton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Weston-super-Mare remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: AFC Totton has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Weston-super-Mare VS AFC Totton
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Weston-super-Mare

(Home)
26 Sept
Farnham
3 : 2
Weston-super-Mare
22 Sept
Wimborne
2 : 1
Weston-super-Mare
19 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1
Wimborne
12 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 0
Dagenham & Red.
08 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 1
AFC Totton
Page 1 of 7

AFC Totton

(Away)
26 Sept
Dover Ath.
2 : 0
AFC Totton
19 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 2
Gloucester City
12 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 1
Slough Town
08 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 1
AFC Totton
05 Sept
AFC Totton
4 : 1
Hampton & Richmond
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Truro 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
6 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
7 Farnham 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
8 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Ebbsfleet 6 3 3 0 7:3 12
15 Folkestone 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
16 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
17 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
18 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
19 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Braintree 10 3 1 6 17:25 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Walton & Hersham 10 1 2 7 9:27 5
24 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
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