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Stadium Background

Weston-super-Mare vs Bristol Rovers

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Weston-super-Mare play Bristol Rovers in the Club Friendly. Bristol Rovers are favorites here. Recently, Weston-super-Mare averaged 1.04 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Bristol Rovers averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Weston-super-Mare won 0, Bristol Rovers won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 2, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Weston-super-Mare and 1.00 for Bristol Rovers. This points to a Bristol Rovers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Weston-super-Mare
25%
Draws
60%
Bristol Rovers
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Bristol Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Weston-super-Mare picked up more points recently compared to Bristol Rovers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Weston-super-Mare Clean Sheet 23%
Bristol Rovers Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Weston-super-Mare Bristol Rovers
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.04 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 FA Cup
Bristol Rovers vs Weston-super-Mare
3:1
Jul 11, 2017 Club Friendly
Weston-super-Mare vs Bristol Rovers
0:3
Jul 13, 2016 Club Friendly
Weston-super-Mare vs Bristol Rovers
1:3
Jul 21, 2011 Club Friendly
Weston-super-Mare vs Bristol Rovers
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Weston-super-Mare Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bristol Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamwa B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rijks M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Weston-super-Mare 18 / 100
Bristol Rovers 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Weston-super-Mare Bristol Rovers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bristol Rovers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Bristol Rovers & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Weston-super-Mare attacking → ← attacking Bristol Rovers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Weston-super-Mare scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Bristol Rovers let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Weston-super-Mare went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bristol Rovers lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 50
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63