Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Weston-super-Mare vs Dagenham & Red.

England England

National League South The Optima Stadium, Weston
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Adenola S.
44'
Cane J.
89' Event
Hulbert O.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Weston-super-Mare and Dagenham & Red. finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Weston-super-Mare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Weston-super-Mare
20%
Draws
40%
Dagenham & Red.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dagenham & Red. come out ahead of Weston-super-Mare on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Weston-super-Mare taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Weston-super-Mare have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Weston-super-Mare Clean Sheet 68%
Dagenham & Red. Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Weston-super-Mare Dagenham & Red.
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.28 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Dagenham & Red.
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 National League South
Dagenham & Red. vs Weston-super-Mare
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Dagenham & Red.
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Weston-super-Mare Compare

Top Goalscorer Hulbert O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Dagenham & Red. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Weston-super-Mare 95 / 100
Dagenham & Red. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Weston-super-Mare Dagenham & Red.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Weston-super-Mare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Weston-super-Mare scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Weston-super-Mare stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Dagenham & Red. conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Weston-super-Mare VS Dagenham & Red.
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Weston-super-Mare

(Home)
26 Sept
Farnham
3 : 2
Weston-super-Mare
22 Sept
Wimborne
2 : 1
Weston-super-Mare
19 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1
Wimborne
12 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 0
Dagenham & Red.
08 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 1
AFC Totton
Page 1 of 6

Dagenham & Red.

(Away)
26 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
1 : 0
Hampton & Richmond
22 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
3 : 0
Waltham Abbey
19 Sept
Waltham Abbey
1 : 1
Dagenham & Red.
12 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 0
Dagenham & Red.
08 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
5 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
6 Truro 9 5 2 2 13:5 17
7 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
8 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
9 Farnham 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Folkestone 9 3 3 3 15:11 12
15 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
16 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
17 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
18 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
19 Braintree 9 3 1 5 16:22 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Ebbsfleet 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Slough Town 9 1 0 8 9:23 3
24 Walton & Hersham 9 0 2 7 6:26 2
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)