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Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Weston-super-Mare host Folkestone in the National League South. This has Weston-super-Mare written all over it on paper. Weston-super-Mare have averaged 1.26 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Folkestone's 1.79 scored and 1.48 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Weston-super-Mare. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Weston-super-Mare
20%
Draws
10%
Folkestone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Weston-super-Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Weston-super-Mare come out ahead of Folkestone on wins alone.
  • Model gives Weston-super-Mare a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Weston-super-Mare Clean Sheet 20%
Folkestone Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Weston-super-Mare Folkestone
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.26 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Weston-super-Mare 85 / 100
Folkestone 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Weston-super-Mare Folkestone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Weston-super-Mare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Weston-super-Mare scored in 63% of their last 35 games.

Folkestone let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Weston-super-Mare went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Folkestone lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Weston-super-Mare VS Folkestone
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Weston-super-Mare

(Home)
26 Sept
Farnham
3 : 2
Weston-super-Mare
22 Sept
Wimborne
2 : 1
Weston-super-Mare
19 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1
Wimborne
12 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 0
Dagenham & Red.
08 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 1
AFC Totton
Page 1 of 7

Folkestone

(Away)
06 Oct
Ebbsfleet
1 : 0
Folkestone
26 Sept
Salisbury
2 : 0
Folkestone
19 Sept
Dover Ath.
4 : 2
Folkestone
12 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 2
Farnham
08 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 1
Horsham FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Truro 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
6 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
7 Farnham 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
8 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Ebbsfleet 6 3 3 0 7:3 12
15 Folkestone 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
16 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
17 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
18 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
19 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Braintree 10 3 1 6 17:25 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Walton & Hersham 10 1 2 7 9:27 5
24 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)