Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Weston Workers Bears vs Maitland Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Rockwell Automation Park, Newcastle
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Thompson J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Northern NSW game between Weston Workers Bears and Maitland finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maitland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Weston Workers Bears
15%
Draws
35%
Maitland
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Weston Workers Bears

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Weston Workers Bears carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Weston Workers Bears a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Weston Workers Bears have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Weston Workers Bears Clean Sheet 15%
Maitland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Weston Workers Bears Maitland
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 18 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.94 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Weston Workers Bears vs Maitland
2:0
Aug 23, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Weston Workers Bears
0:1
May 23, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Weston Workers Bears vs Maitland
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Weston Workers Bears
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Weston Workers Bears
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Weston Workers Bears Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Maitland Compare

Top Goalscorer Thompson J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Weston Workers Bears 84 / 100
Maitland 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Weston Workers Bears Maitland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Weston Workers Bears Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maitland has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Weston Workers Bears stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Weston Workers Bears scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Weston Workers Bears VS Maitland
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Weston Workers Bears

(Home)
13 Sept
Weston Workers Bears
2 : 0
Maitland
29 Aug
Broadmeadow Magic FC
0 : 3
Weston Workers Bears
23 Aug
Maitland
0 : 1
Weston Workers Bears
16 Aug
Valentine
0 : 0
Weston Workers Bears
12 Aug
Weston Workers Bears
4 : 2
Adamstown Rosebud
Page 1 of 7

Maitland

(Away)
13 Sept
Weston Workers Bears
2 : 0
Maitland
06 Sept
Broadmeadow Magic FC
0 : 1
Maitland
30 Aug
Maitland
2 : 1
Edgeworth Eagles FC
23 Aug
Maitland
0 : 1
Weston Workers Bears
16 Aug
Maitland
2 : 1
Edgeworth Eagles FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Broadmeadow Magic FC 22 15 4 3 59:23 49
2 Maitland 22 13 3 6 40:32 42
3 Weston Workers Bears 22 12 5 5 48:33 41
4 Edgeworth Eagles FC 22 11 6 5 41:31 39
5 Belmont Swansea United 22 10 5 7 47:44 35
6 Cooks Hill United 22 9 6 7 43:36 33
7 Valentine 22 7 5 10 22:39 26
8 Lambton Jaffas FC 22 7 4 11 38:33 25
9 Adamstown Rosebud 22 6 6 10 34:45 24
10 Newcastle Olympic 22 5 6 11 39:40 21
11 Kahibah 22 6 2 14 35:53 20
12 Charlestown Azzurri 22 4 2 16 25:62 14
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)