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Wexford vs Avondale United

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2023 Ferrycarrig Park, Wexford
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Boyle E.
(Penalty)
63' Event
Doran A.
90' Event
Kenny E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Wexford advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Wexford
15%
Draws
39%
Avondale United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wexford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Avondale United haven't matched Wexford's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Wexford's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Wexford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Wexford, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Wexford Clean Sheet 68%
Avondale United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wexford Avondale United
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.2 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2023 FAI Cup
Wexford vs Avondale United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wexford Compare

Top Goalscorer Doran A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kenny E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Avondale United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wexford 86 / 100
Avondale United 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wexford Avondale United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wexford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avondale United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 25 matches.

Wexford's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Wexford remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wexford VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Wexford

(Home)
02 Oct
Wexford
3 : 3
Longford
25 Sept
Kerry
1 : 0
Wexford
18 Sept
Wexford
3 : 1
Cobh Ramblers
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Treaty United
0 : 1
Wexford
Page 1 of 6

Avondale United

(Away)
02 Sept
Avondale United
1 : 0
Bandon
21 Jul
Wexford
3 : 0
Avondale United
09 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 1
Avondale United
20 Apr
Newtown Rangers
3 : 4
Avondale United
21 Apr
Avondale United
0 : 2
Pike Rovers
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Treaty United 0
Cork City 2
St. Michaels 0
Waterford 5
Lucan Utd 2
St. Patricks CY 3
Wexford 3
Avondale United 0
Kilbarrack Utd 0
Finn Harps 1
Portlaoise AFC 0
Skerries Town 3
Derry City 3
Athlone 0
Longford 1
St. Patricks 2
UC Dublin 3
Cobh Ramblers 2
Galway United 4
Bangor Celtic 1
Cockhill 1
Bray 3
Dundalk 1
Shamrock Rovers 0
Kerry 2
Ringmahon Rangers 0
Drogheda 2
Sligo Rovers 1
Bohemians 1
Shelbourne 0
Gorey Rangers 1
Rockmount 2
1/8-finals
Cork City 3
Waterford 0
St. Patricks CY 0
Wexford 1
Finn Harps 5
Skerries Town 0
Derry City 0
St. Patricks 1
UC Dublin 1
Galway United 5
Bray 0
Dundalk 1
Kerry 0
Drogheda 1
Bohemians 6
Rockmount 0
Quarter-finals
Cork City 2
Wexford 1
Finn Harps 1
St. Patricks 2
Galway United 4
Dundalk 0
Drogheda 1
Bohemians 3
Semi-finals
Cork City 0
St. Patricks 2
Galway United 0
Bohemians 1
Final
St. Patricks 3
Bohemians 1