Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Weymouth vs Dorchester

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Weymouth and Dorchester finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Weymouth
15%
Draws
18%
Dorchester
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Weymouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Weymouth come out ahead of Dorchester on wins alone.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Weymouth taking it.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Weymouth Clean Sheet 20%
Dorchester Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Weymouth Dorchester
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 8
Draws 3 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.7 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Weymouth vs Dorchester
0:0
Dec 27, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Dorchester vs Weymouth
1:2
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Weymouth vs Dorchester
0:2
Jul 31, 2021 Club Friendly
Dorchester vs Weymouth
2:5
Sep 8, 2020 Club Friendly
Dorchester vs Weymouth
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Weymouth 85 / 100
Dorchester 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Weymouth Dorchester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Weymouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorchester has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Weymouth has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Weymouth's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Weymouth VS Dorchester
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Weymouth

(Home)
26 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 3
Weymouth
19 Sept
Swindon Supermarine
1 : 3
Weymouth
12 Sept
Hartpury University
2 : 3
Weymouth
05 Sept
Bath City
0 : 2
Weymouth
29 Aug
Weymouth
5 : 1
Melksham
Page 1 of 6

Dorchester

(Away)
19 Sept
Dorchester
0 : 2
Oxford City
05 Sept
Brixham
2 : 3
Dorchester
29 Aug
Larkhall
2 : 1
Dorchester
25 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 4
Sholing
18 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 0
Dorchester
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)