Sport Picks

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Weymouth vs Havant & Waterlooville

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Taylor F.

AI Match Summary

Havant & Waterlooville in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Havant & Waterlooville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Weymouth
39%
Draws
30%
Havant & Waterlooville
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Havant & Waterlooville have won more games recently than Weymouth.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Weymouth Clean Sheet 13%
Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Weymouth Havant & Waterlooville
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Weymouth vs Havant & Waterlooville
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Weymouth
2:0
Mar 23, 2024 National League South
Weymouth vs Havant & Waterlooville
4:1
Oct 28, 2023 National League South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Weymouth
1:1
Apr 7, 2023 National League South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Weymouth
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Weymouth Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Havant & Waterlooville Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Weymouth 31 / 100
Havant & Waterlooville 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Weymouth Havant & Waterlooville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Weymouth scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Havant & Waterlooville's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Weymouth remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Weymouth VS Havant & Waterlooville
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Weymouth

(Home)
18 Jul
Weymouth
2 : 3
Barry Town
25 Apr
Berkhamsted Town
2 : 0
Weymouth
18 Apr
Weymouth
5 : 1
Chertsey Town
11 Apr
Hanwell Town
4 : 0
Weymouth
06 Apr
Weymouth
0 : 0
Dorchester
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Havant & Waterlooville

(Away)
25 Apr
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 3
Yate
18 Apr
Poole Town
2 : 0
Havant & Waterlooville
11 Apr
Plymouth Parkway
3 : 3
Havant & Waterlooville
06 Apr
Havant & Waterlooville
4 : 0
Gosport Borough
03 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 2
Havant & Waterlooville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Walton & Hersham42295894:4292
2Farnham42259890:5084
3Gloucester City422571093:5182
4Poole Town422112980:5075
5Berkhamsted Town422191262:5072
6Sholing421815974:5369
7Chertsey Town4219101364:5567
8Gosport Borough421961774:7563
9Uxbridge4215141374:7059
10Havant & Waterlooville421771878:7058
11Plymouth Parkway421681864:7956
12Bracknell Town4215101770:7155
13Yate4214101857:6252
14Hanwell Town4214101857:6352
15Wimborne4212151563:6251
16Taunton Town421491965:7051
17Basingstoke421491961:7151
18Evesham4211141751:6247
19Weymouth421382153:7147
20Dorchester429132048:7940
21Hungerford429112247:8738
22Tiverton42533439:11518
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)