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Whitby vs Alfreton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division Turnbull Ground, Whitby
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Youmbi D.
42'
Hewitt S.
42'
Hewitt S.

AI Match Summary

Alfreton in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alfreton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Whitby
15%
Draws
64%
Alfreton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alfreton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Whitby haven't matched Alfreton's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Alfreton taking it.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Whitby Clean Sheet 10%
Alfreton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Whitby Alfreton
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.32 1.26
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Alfreton
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Whitby Compare

Top Goalscorer Phuthi J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Alfreton Compare

Top Goalscorer Ligendza S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Youmbi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Whitby 18 / 100
Alfreton 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Whitby Alfreton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alfreton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Whitby scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Alfreton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Whitby remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Whitby VS Alfreton
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Whitby

(Home)
06 Oct
Whitby
2 : 6
Gainsborough
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2
Lancaster
26 Sept
Bridlington Town
3 : 0
Whitby
12 Sept
Hyde
1 : 3
Whitby
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5
Ashton United
Page 1 of 6

Alfreton

(Away)
06 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 0
United of Manchester
03 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1
Alfreton
29 Sept
Alfreton
1 : 0
Guiseley
26 Sept
Alfreton
2 : 1
Shifnal Town
12 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0
Alfreton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 12 8 3 1 27:7 27
2 Avro 10 8 1 1 33:19 25
3 Redcar Athletic 12 7 4 1 23:11 25
4 Guiseley 11 7 1 3 24:11 22
5 Workington 12 6 3 3 23:19 21
6 Warrington Rylands 12 6 2 4 20:17 20
7 Curzon Ashton 10 6 1 3 21:11 19
8 Alfreton 12 6 0 6 18:13 18
9 Warrington Town 10 5 3 2 20:16 18
10 Bury FC 10 5 1 4 19:9 16
11 Gainsborough 10 5 1 4 20:14 16
12 Lancaster 12 5 1 6 16:24 16
13 Hyde 12 4 2 6 13:21 14
14 Ashton United 10 3 3 4 12:11 12
15 Whitby 11 4 0 7 17:32 12
16 Stockton 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
17 Leek Town 11 2 4 5 22:23 10
18 Quorn 11 2 4 5 18:27 10
19 AFC Emley 11 2 4 5 10:22 10
20 Bamber Bridge 11 2 3 6 16:31 9
21 Ilkeston 12 2 1 9 7:26 7
22 United of Manchester 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
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