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Whitby vs Guiseley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division Turnbull Ground, Whitby
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Martin A.
58' Event
Martin A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Whitby and Guiseley finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guiseley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Whitby
15%
Draws
68%
Guiseley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guiseley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guiseley come out ahead of Whitby on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Guiseley's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Guiseley have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Whitby Clean Sheet 10%
Guiseley Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Whitby Guiseley
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.32 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Guiseley
0:2
Mar 21, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Guiseley vs Whitby
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Guiseley
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Guiseley vs Whitby
3:1
Sep 10, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Guiseley
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Whitby Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Guiseley Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Whitby 10 / 100
Guiseley 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Whitby Guiseley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guiseley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Whitby's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Guiseley has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Whitby remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Whitby VS Guiseley
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
3 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Whitby

(Home)
06 Oct
Whitby
2 : 6
Gainsborough
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2
Lancaster
26 Sept
Bridlington Town
3 : 0
Whitby
12 Sept
Hyde
1 : 3
Whitby
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5
Ashton United
Page 1 of 6

Guiseley

(Away)
06 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 2
Guiseley
03 Oct
Guiseley
1 : 0
Bradford PA
29 Sept
Alfreton
1 : 0
Guiseley
26 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 2
Bamber Bridge
19 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 4
Guiseley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 12 8 3 1 27:7 27
2 Avro 10 8 1 1 33:19 25
3 Redcar Athletic 12 7 4 1 23:11 25
4 Guiseley 11 7 1 3 24:11 22
5 Workington 12 6 3 3 23:19 21
6 Warrington Rylands 12 6 2 4 20:17 20
7 Curzon Ashton 10 6 1 3 21:11 19
8 Alfreton 12 6 0 6 18:13 18
9 Warrington Town 10 5 3 2 20:16 18
10 Bury FC 10 5 1 4 19:9 16
11 Gainsborough 10 5 1 4 20:14 16
12 Lancaster 12 5 1 6 16:24 16
13 Hyde 12 4 2 6 13:21 14
14 Ashton United 10 3 3 4 12:11 12
15 Whitby 11 4 0 7 17:32 12
16 Stockton 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
17 Leek Town 11 2 4 5 22:23 10
18 Quorn 11 2 4 5 18:27 10
19 AFC Emley 11 2 4 5 10:22 10
20 Bamber Bridge 11 2 3 6 16:31 9
21 Ilkeston 12 2 1 9 7:26 7
22 United of Manchester 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
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