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Whitby vs Stockton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division Turnbull Ground, Whitby
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Whitby host Stockton in the NPL Premier Division. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Stockton have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Whitby have conceded 2.14 and scored 1.31. Past meetings favor Stockton slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 13, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.88) point toward Whitby. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Whitby
20%
Draws
29%
Stockton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Whitby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Whitby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Whitby's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Whitby Clean Sheet 10%
Stockton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Whitby Stockton
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.31 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Whitby
0:0
Sep 9, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Stockton
1:1
Jan 1, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Stockton
0:2
Aug 26, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Whitby
2:0
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Whitby vs Stockton
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Whitby 38 / 100
Stockton 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Whitby Stockton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Whitby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stockton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Whitby's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Whitby remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Stockton has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Whitby VS Stockton
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Whitby

(Home)
17 Oct
Whitby
1 : 0
Curzon Ashton
13 Oct
Workington
1 : 2
Whitby
10 Oct
Whitby
0 : 0
Bamber Bridge
06 Oct
Whitby
2 : 6
Gainsborough
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2
Lancaster
Page 1 of 6

Stockton

(Away)
17 Oct
Stockton
1 : 3
AFC Emley
13 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 0
Stockton
10 Oct
Stockton
2 : 2
United of Manchester
06 Oct
Stockton
1 : 0
Bury FC
03 Oct
Hyde
2 : 1
Stockton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 15 10 4 1 33:13 34
2 Cleethorpes 13 9 3 1 30:7 30
3 Guiseley 12 8 1 3 25:11 25
4 Gainsborough 13 8 1 4 29:16 25
5 Avro 13 8 1 4 34:25 25
6 Workington 15 7 3 5 26:25 24
7 Warrington Town 13 6 5 2 24:19 23
8 Warrington Rylands 14 7 2 5 25:21 23
9 Curzon Ashton 13 7 1 5 24:17 22
10 Alfreton 15 6 2 7 21:17 20
11 Lancaster 15 6 2 7 20:28 20
12 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
13 Whitby 14 6 1 7 20:33 19
14 Hyde 15 4 3 8 15:29 15
15 Leek Town 13 3 5 5 26:26 14
16 Ashton United 13 3 5 5 15:15 14
17 Quorn 13 3 5 5 23:29 14
18 AFC Emley 14 3 5 6 15:26 14
19 Stockton 15 3 3 9 18:28 12
20 Bamber Bridge 14 2 4 8 17:34 10
21 Ilkeston 15 3 1 11 10:34 10
22 United of Manchester 12 1 4 7 15:23 7
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