Sport Picks
Whitby vs Warrington Town
England
NPL Premier Division Turnbull Ground, Whitby 
Match Events
11'
11'
Vela J.
12'
12'
Butler S.
20'
20'
Daly R.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division game between Whitby and Warrington Town finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warrington Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warrington Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Warrington Town come out ahead of Whitby on wins alone.
- Warrington Town are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Whitby Clean Sheet 10%
Warrington Town Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Whitby | Warrington Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Warrington Town
0:5
Mar 28, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Whitby
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Warrington Town
4:0
Feb 28, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Whitby
2:2
Nov 8, 2022 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Warrington Town
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Whitby Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Warrington Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Daly R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Vela J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Whitby 10 / 100
Warrington Town 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Whitby Warrington Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warrington Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Warrington Town has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Whitby found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Whitby went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Whitby VS Warrington Town
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
3.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Whitby
(Home) 29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2 Lancaster
26 Sept
Bridlington Town
3 : 0 Whitby
12 Sept
Hyde
1 : 3 Whitby
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5 Ashton United
31 Aug
Whitby
1 : 4 Alfreton
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2 Lancaster
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5 Ashton United
31 Aug
Whitby
1 : 4 Alfreton
22 Aug
Whitby
0 : 5 Warrington Town
15 Aug
Whitby
2 : 0 Ilkeston
Page 1 of 3
Warrington Town
(Away) 26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Ashton United
19 Sept
Warrington Town
3 : 0 South Liverpool
12 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Warrington Town
08 Sept
Warrington Town
4 : 0 Shildon
05 Sept
Shildon
2 : 2 Warrington Town
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Warrington Town
05 Sept
Shildon
2 : 2 Warrington Town
01 Sept
Leek Town
1 : 2 Warrington Town
22 Aug
Whitby
0 : 5 Warrington Town
18 Aug
Ilkeston
1 : 2 Warrington Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Avro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:16 | 22 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19:7 | 22 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Workington | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Warrington Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Bury FC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 8 | Curzon Ashton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 9 | Warrington Rylands | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:13 | 16 |
| 10 | Alfreton | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16:10 | 15 |
| 11 | Gainsborough | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 12 | Lancaster | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:18 | 13 |
| 13 | Whitby | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:26 | 12 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 15 | Hyde | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:19 | 11 |
| 16 | AFC Emley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:18 | 10 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Bamber Bridge | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:27 | 9 |
| 19 | Stockton | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:20 | 8 |
| 20 | Ilkeston | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:22 | 7 |
| 21 | Quorn | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12:23 | 6 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 5 |
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