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Wigan U18 vs Birmingham U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Youth Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Joseph K.
13' Event
Gelhardt J.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Gelhardt J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Wigan U18 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Wigan U18
15%
Draws
21%
Birmingham U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wigan U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Wigan U18 haven't matched Birmingham U18's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Wigan U18 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Birmingham U18 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wigan U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Wigan U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Birmingham U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wigan U18 Birmingham U18
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 4 6
Draws 0 2
Losses 4 23
Goals Scored 2 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.38 3.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2020 FA Youth Cup
Wigan U18 vs Birmingham U18
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wigan U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joseph K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gelhardt J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.15

Birmingham U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wigan U18 85 / 100
Birmingham U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wigan U18 Birmingham U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wigan U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wigan U18 found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (8 games).

Defensive concern: Birmingham U18 conceded in 97% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Wigan U18 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Birmingham U18
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 3.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Wigan U18

(Home)
28 Feb
Manchester United U18
2 : 1
Wigan U18
05 Feb
Wigan U18
4 : 0
Birmingham U18
08 Jan
Wigan U18
2 : 0
Tottenham U18
13 Feb
Liverpool U18
2 : 0
Wigan U18
12 Jan
Hull U18
2 : 6
Wigan U18
Page 1 of 2

Birmingham U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Birmingham U18
0 : 3
West Ham U18
12 Sept
Reading U18
1 : 2
Birmingham U18
05 Sept
Birmingham U18
0 : 3
Ipswich U18
29 Aug
Tottenham U18
8 : 2
Birmingham U18
22 Aug
Birmingham U18
1 : 4
Chelsea U18
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Blackburn U18 1
Charlton U18 0
Oxford Utd U18 0
Preston U18 2
Arsenal U18 1
Southampton U18 0
Derby U18 1
Brighton U18 2
Manchester City U18 2
Aston Villa U18 1
Sheffield Utd U18 1
Fulham U18 2
Mansfield U18 0
Burnley U18 3
West Brom U18 4
Middlesbrough U18 1
Chelsea U18 5
Bradford U18 0
Wolves U18 2
Crystal Palace U18 1
Bournemouth U18 1
Cardiff U18 0
Millwall U18 3
Fleetwood Town U18 1
Norwich U18 0
Manchester United U18 2
Leeds U18 3
Sheffield Wed U18 2
Wigan U18 2
Tottenham U18 0
Birmingham U18 2
Barnsley U18 1
1/8-finals
Blackburn U18 4
Preston U18 2
Arsenal U18 4
Brighton U18 3
Manchester City U18 1
Fulham U18 0
Burnley U18 2
West Brom U18 0
Chelsea U18 7
Wolves U18 0
Bournemouth U18 2
Millwall U18 3
Manchester United U18 1
Leeds U18 0
Wigan U18 4
Birmingham U18 0
Quarter-finals
Blackburn U18 4
Arsenal U18 1
Manchester City U18 1
Burnley U18 0
Chelsea U18 1
Millwall U18 0
Manchester United U18 2
Wigan U18 1
Semi-finals
Blackburn U18 0
Manchester City U18 4
Chelsea U18 1
Manchester United U18 0
Final
Manchester City U18 3
Chelsea U18 2