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Wigan U18 vs Derby U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Youth Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wigan U18 in this FA Youth Cup 2015/2016 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Wigan U18
15%
Draws
37%
Derby U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wigan U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Derby U18 have won more games recently than Wigan U18.
  • Win probability leans Wigan U18's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Derby U18 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wigan U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Wigan U18 Clean Sheet 15%
Derby U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wigan U18 Derby U18
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 4 12
Draws 0 3
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2016 FA Youth Cup
Wigan U18 vs Derby U18
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wigan U18 84 / 100
Derby U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wigan U18 Derby U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wigan U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wigan U18 found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (8 games).

Derby U18 has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Wigan U18 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Derby U18
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Wigan U18

(Home)
28 Feb
Manchester United U18
2 : 1
Wigan U18
05 Feb
Wigan U18
4 : 0
Birmingham U18
08 Jan
Wigan U18
2 : 0
Tottenham U18
13 Feb
Liverpool U18
2 : 0
Wigan U18
12 Jan
Hull U18
2 : 6
Wigan U18
Page 1 of 2

Derby U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Derby U18
3 : 3
Liverpool U18
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2
Derby U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2
Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3
Derby U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4
Burnley U18
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Wigan U18 1
Derby U18 0
Leeds U18 2
Manchester City U18 5
Tottenham U18 1
Middlesbrough U18 3
Sunderland U18 1
Norwich U18 4
Coventry U18 2
Charlton U18 1
Swansea U18 1
Arsenal U18 3
Nottingham U18 1
Birmingham U18 0
Liverpool U18 3
Cardiff U18 0
Crystal Palace U18 1
Aston Villa U18 5
Blackburn U18 3
Leicester U18 2
Exeter U18 1
Preston U18 2
Oldham U18 0
Luton U18 1
Newcastle Utd U18 1
AFC Wimbledon U18 2
Manchester United U18 1
Chelsea U18 5
Wolves U18 5
Metropolitan Police U18 0
Fulham U18 1
Reading U18 3
1/8-finals
Wigan U18 1
Manchester City U18 3
Middlesbrough U18 4
Norwich U18 5
Coventry U18 2
Arsenal U18 3
Nottingham U18 1
Liverpool U18 2
Aston Villa U18 1
Blackburn U18 2
Preston U18 1
Luton U18 2
AFC Wimbledon U18 1
Chelsea U18 4
Wolves U18 0
Reading U18 3
Quarter-finals
Manchester City U18 2
Norwich U18 0
Arsenal U18 2
Liverpool U18 1
Blackburn U18 1
Luton U18 0
Chelsea U18 2
Reading U18 1
Semi-finals
Manchester City U18 4
Arsenal U18 3
Blackburn U18 1
Chelsea U18 4
Final
Manchester City U18 2
Chelsea U18 4